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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Tavasco on April 12, 2025, 04:00:48 PM

Title: NY Derby Preps vs Baffert
Post by: Tavasco on April 12, 2025, 04:00:48 PM

Does my perception that TG generally has a positive bias for NY stakes races and the preps for triple crown races in particular and Bullet Bob sending another 3 y/o to crush the Wood competition warrant discussion?

Historically trainer Baffert has waited until Saratoga to send his top 3 y/o\'s to New York. However, Historically BBB has been dominant at Oaklawn Park and SoCal. Not this year.

Can I deduce that Rodriquez late start as a 2 y/o and quantity of races over a short time ending with what surely is a new top should steer me off of a mere grade II winner? Did he look good because he beat so-so colts in the Wood.

Would it be foolish to Consider that race as a stepping stone to another Derby winner and Triple Crown contender?

Title: Re: NY Derby Preps vs Baffert
Post by: Roman on April 12, 2025, 04:17:50 PM

Speaking of Baffert,  was just  going through some part KY derby data, and found something that might be interesting. Out of the last 10 derby winners,  the pari-mutuel winners , four of the last ten have won another race after the derby.  

All of them have been trained by Baffert. American Pharaoh, Justify, Authentic  & Medina Spirit.