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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Tavasco on November 02, 2025, 12:59:12 PM

Title: Explanations & Excuses via Paulick Report
Post by: Tavasco on November 02, 2025, 12:59:12 PM

Cut/Paste to Follow the attached link -
https://paulickreport.com/news/breeders-cup/explanations-and-excuses-breeders-cup-saturday-reactions-from-jockeys-and-trainers

Title: Re: Explanations & Excuses via Paulick Report
Post by: jbelfior on November 03, 2025, 08:03:44 AM

I need someone to explain Ethical Diamond to me.


Good Luck,
Joe B.

Title: Re: Explanations & Excuses via Paulick Report
Post by: BB on November 03, 2025, 08:45:21 AM

Imagine how much he wins by if only they added a few fences.

Title: Re: Explanations & Excuses via Paulick Report
Post by: shanahan on November 03, 2025, 10:04:00 AM

I had Ethical 5th w/ my projected TG # before analyzing what they\'ve done.  Here is my top 5.  Based on best fig at dist last 12 mos and factored to Thopattern.  Just a tad behind fav MiniHK.   FYI below.  I went with Aidan and Appleby so no victory for me.  Plus, jky had never ridden him.


6    1.90    47%   20   J      Wmbledn
2    2.00    45%   8         Goliath
8    2.16    40%   2   J      MINI HK
1    2.76    24%   3   J   Prd   REBE ROM
14    3.00    17%   30         ETHICAL

Title: Re: Explanations & Excuses via Paulick Report
Post by: Boscar Obarra on November 03, 2025, 12:13:09 PM

Sometimes strange wins it .
 
A few pundits on twitter gave that horse a big shout out, with rationale.

Title: Re: Explanations & Excuses via Paulick Report
Post by: jbelfior on November 03, 2025, 01:49:20 PM

Are they the ones that drove his odds from 47 to 25-1 as they were loading?
Someone check the tattoo.


Good Luck,
Joe B.

Title: Re: Explanations & Excuses via Paulick Report
Post by: Roman on November 03, 2025, 02:31:02 PM

https://x.com/Tinky47flat/status/1984652210957865161
He made a case for the horse. Ruined my day. Looked at him once and never gave a second look. When he crossed the finish line, I had to look to see who he was. Just like Rich Strike.

Title: Re: Explanations & Excuses via Paulick Report
Post by: Roman on November 03, 2025, 02:35:57 PM

On a side note, Absurde in the Melbourne Cup tonight has the same owners & trainer.

Title: Re: Explanations & Excuses via Paulick Report
Post by: johnnym on November 03, 2025, 03:10:27 PM

Tinky like everyone else comes up with some good stuff occasionally

Title: Re: Explanations & Excuses via Paulick Report
Post by: Boscar Obarra on November 03, 2025, 04:29:38 PM

I thought it dropped a little earlier, but based on the BC live feed , looks like it was a very late punch

   Can tell you it took big money on the exacta too.  

   I have some non obvious theories about some of this money , but no doubt, this was a strange one.