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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: derby1592 on May 10, 2002, 09:54:48 PM

Title: No "Lone Star" in the ROTW
Post by: derby1592 on May 10, 2002, 09:54:48 PM

Below is a sheets-based, computer-generated odds line for the ROTW. It lists each horse followed by its calculated \"break even\" odds.

According to the computer model, the race looks wide open with no standouts. If the morning line holds, the horses that appear to offer some value include Dusty Spike, Jeremiah Jack, and Cappuchino (and possibly Bay Monster). Windward Passage would be a defensive play only and Smoked Em and Tracemark look like strong plays against.

Good luck to all.

Chris

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Forty Nine Deeds, 15.7
Dusty Spike, 5.6
Peekskill, 19.9
Windward Passage, 5.6
Smoked Em, 17.5
Jeremiah Jack, 7.9
Cappuchino, 4.8
Holdthehelm, >100/1
Bay Monster, 11.3
Premeditation, >100/1
Screen Idol, 22.1
Padlock, >100/1
Tracemark, 18.5
Wiseman\'s Ferry, 19.1

Title: Re: No "Lone Star" in the ROTW
Post by: kev on May 11, 2002, 01:01:02 AM

Tracemark has the slight edge.

Title: Re: No "Lone Star" in the ROTW
Post by: kev on May 11, 2002, 11:32:52 PM

Ran 2nd. Shows the importance of saving ground in a race.