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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: big18741 on August 18, 2005, 06:58:41 PM

Title: ROTW
Post by: big18741 on August 18, 2005, 06:58:41 PM

Are you doing the Alabama or the Pacific Classic ?

                  Thanks

Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: TGJB on August 18, 2005, 07:10:11 PM

Pacific Classic.

Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: on August 19, 2005, 04:48:56 PM

Lava Man obviously lays over this field if he runs back to his latest (unless Perfect Drift can recover his very best form from 2 years ago). From my perspective, when a fairly experienced horse gets really good like this all of a sudden, it usually doesn\'t hold that peak form for more than a few races (at best). I think most of us would agree that it\'s far from certain he\'s going to duplicate his last race on Sunday. That might make him a somewhat vulnerable heavy favorite.  

This is my question:

Has anyone actually studied the ROI for horses like this?

I\'m not sure how to define the category clearly, but let\'s say:

Older horses with more than 15 starts that ran a 2-3 point new top in their last start (exclude horses with a trainer change in their last start).