Ask The Experts

General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Kasept on April 13, 2006, 01:58:05 PM

Title: "Thank You Easter Bunny"
Post by: Kasept on April 13, 2006, 01:58:05 PM

From today\'s AQU Analysis...

5th: Theresa\'s Decision is bred to be better on turf. Jump up expected. Win #5 at 15-1 or more. Box with #1 Four Nine Whiskey, #10 Mohegan Sky.

Was it OK to bet Theresa\'s Decision at 26-1? She was your $54 winner and the trifecta brought back $763...

Thank you Easter Bunny... (Or Elijah as the case may be today!)

Title: Re: "Thank You Easter Bunny"
Post by: richiebee on April 13, 2006, 03:26:25 PM

Kasept:

     Good job, but did you roll at least a couple of shekels back on the same trainer/ jock combo ($80) in race 7?

Title: Re: "Thank You Easter Bunny"
Post by: RICH on April 14, 2006, 07:06:37 AM

I\'m looking at the sheet

trainer 0-16 turf
sire 1-40 3% 1st time turf, 10% overall
dam has never had a turf runner worth anything

analysis says bred for turf, horse wins, What am I missing here?

Title: Re: "Thank You Easter Bunny"
Post by: miff on April 14, 2006, 08:32:49 AM

Rich,

The analysis says better bred for turf, i.e. better than dirt.A turf race with young first time turfers is a good spot for bombs away especially when many have darkened form.Gotta give the picker his props.

Title: Re: "Thank You Easter Bunny"
Post by: davidrex on April 14, 2006, 11:59:01 AM

guess we all try to sneak by when lady luck touches us!!