Ask The Experts
General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: RICH on March 27, 2008, 02:39:57 PM
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nt
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We have to get past the Dubai craziness before I can focus on that. Probably won\'t decide until late tonight or tomorrow.
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Why not a Dubai Race?
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Because the races go off in the middle of the night California time. You gotta be a farmer to watch them out there.
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I didn\'t think about that- I\'m gonna be up early on Sat. to see all the action!
I\'m sure whatever you decide will be an interesting handicapping race.
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Florida Derby please. Wide open race.Would be nice to see your thoughts on it.
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You tell me how fast that South American is, and I\'ll tell you who to bet. He\'s a North American bred, which means that last year he was a 2yo running against 3yos-- at 1 1/4 and 1 1/2-- and killing them.
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I can\'t get excited about him.
His trainers stats tell me to not use him. The trainer has 5 wins in the last year:
Mcl 10,000 at Ind
4000clm @ Elp
5000clm @ RD
Alw race at Mnr
Maiden race at Mnr
The last Group I winner he had from Peru ran up the track in a non graded event. His Group 3 Peru winner ran up the track at Lone Star.
Now this guy gets the keys to the \"Peru Woner Horse\"?
No thanks!
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What happen to Majestic Warrior?Looked so good at the Spa but the wheels have completed came off.To fast to early or was he really never that fast?
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Majestic Warrior got hurt last year. IMO, he was rushed into a pretty tough spot for his 3YO debut coming off an inury, but he ran a lot better than it looks. Watch the race. He was very wide most of the race but made a move past horses like a very superior animal before he tired badly. He was probably very short. I think he either moves forward a lot or the wheels fall off. The outside post is not going to help.
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I think the problem with this horse is his wheels are coming off.
Literally
Taggs horse might be tough in here
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Taggs horse has a big 4 pt top last out, You have the big number horses at 8,9,12 and you got the inside, a tad slower Smooth Air, working very well over that deep calder track, with this race in mind. I like the pattern, the post and the plan.
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Tagg\'s horse will be tough. One has to assume he won\'t bounce considering the spacing and solid workout pattern.
Would not put a dime on FIERCE WIND. That\'s 2 drifts in a row. Was lucky to win last since BIG TRUCK has no turn move. The other colt out of that race may improve tomorrow at a price. Nice inside post, stamina building works. SMOOTH AIR had to alter course when Zito\'s colt bore out @ Tampa. Not a bad use in the exotics.
Good Luck,
Joe B.
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Rich:
You reading my mind??
Connections had this race circled since November. Florida bred and owned. Would make a nice trophy in their Florida home.
Good Luck,
Joe B.
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Tagg parlay-5th today at GP and Elysium tomorrow
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I think Majestic Warrior is very likely to run in the money with a decent ground-saving trip. Not impossible for the win.