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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: jbelfior on May 12, 2008, 07:53:56 AM

Title: What if BIG Brown Has a Big Bounce
Post by: jbelfior on May 12, 2008, 07:53:56 AM
Maybe it\'s time to start discussing the Preakness and the What-ifs.

Any opinions on any of the second stringers running a new top that is enough to give BB a run if he should have a Monarchos type bounce.


Good Luck,
Joe B.
Title: Re: What if BIG Brown Has a Big Bounce
Post by: Rick B. on May 12, 2008, 09:29:55 AM
jbelfior Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Any opinions on any of the second stringers
> running a new top that is enough to give BB a run
> if he should have a Monarchos type bounce.

Not from me -- I\'m too busy watching replays of the Derby, trying to figure out exactly when Big Brown did any sustained hard running.
 
Unless I can find a horse for 2nd for a cold one-way, the Preakness is likely a pass for me.
Title: Re: What if BIG Brown Has a Big Bounce
Post by: ronwar on May 12, 2008, 02:19:18 PM
Dutrow thought you might ask that

Dutrow said he was informed Big Brown earned a minus-1 figure on the Ragozin Sheets - the lower the number, the better the performance - with his Derby victory. \"He\'s got to react,\" he said, meaning he believes the colt will \"bounce,\" and not run as fast in the Preakness. \"He\'s not going to run a minus-1 again. But I\'m figuring if he runs like a 5, he can still win the race.\"

http://www.drf.com/news/article/94347.html
Title: Re: What if BIG Brown Has a Big Bounce
Post by: Silver Charm on May 12, 2008, 02:28:45 PM
Wow,

A dime on a dollar horse running a 6 point X and still supposed to win. How do I get a piece of that KEY this Saturday?

If there a limit on how much I can bet.......
Title: Re: What if BIG Brown Has a Big Bounce
Post by: ronwar on May 13, 2008, 12:26:47 AM
It wouldn\'t be the first time a horse X\'ed 6 points and won.  Take a look at Saint Liams sheet in the archives (2005 Breeders Cup).  In fact, he won his last two with an X and an Off.