Ask The Experts
General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: HP on October 24, 2008, 09:35:51 AM
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As I think about what to do in the first race - it seems to be a microcosm of what I will be facing throughout. Sorry in advance if this sounds dumb, but if anyone has any ideas, please post...
If this were a regular day at the track - I would either try to hook up Indian Blessing with something underneath or PASS. Ordinarily there is only one reason to go against her - she is over the top. However, even if she was over the top, she can bounce to a zero and still beat these. Just doesn\'t make sense to me to buck her. On the other hand - two things.
1) Pro Ride - I feel like I should just assume that the results will be wacky. This may cause Indian Blessing to run substantially worse. Maybe not.
2) Every year I see races where a favorite come in on top with two mid-priced horses under and the tri pays $600! So you pass up this easy money shooting for the moon.
Maybe I will try to cover both possibilities (chaos results and logical stuff that could pay off in big dumb pools) early until I go broke. What are you guys going to do?
Thanks in advance.
HP
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In dealing with the days big favs (IB,ZEN,Curlin) Throwing out zen and curlin, using IB very definsively, and going heavy in Pk 3\'s and a few heavy win bets.
Good Luck