Ask The Experts
General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: drbillym on August 04, 2010, 08:05:48 AM
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Picking J J Minister in a mcl32000 was one thing, but moving up to a stakes with only 2 weeks rest after an all out effort might be another. But he did move from a first start TG of 25 to a 14, which is competetive in this field. With his early speed, the outside post should be OK and possibly beneficial, tho I don\'t see J Garcia as the best gate rider. For those of you more familiar with patterns, bounces, etc., would like to hear your input, and wonder if being a 2 yr old makes him more likely to progress than bounce. I have a bad habit of betting back horses I have won on previously, figuring \"he doesn\'t owe me anything!\" But I\'ve noticed that professionals don\'t have this flaw. After Michael D. gave us Richard\'s Kid at 25-1, he didn\'t arbitrarily bet on him just cuz he had a pile of dough.
Any input on this race wil be appreciated, as J J is 15-1 and who knows, maybe another big ticket!
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I\'m thinking and hopefully along similar as many other TGr\'s that Joy Boy emerges as an interesting and most viable play in the 7th - I\'m just not enamored with the idea of getting a $ 10-12 dollar horse in a 2 yo race . The horse does lay over a bit and there are a couple potentially sneaky good trainer angles - but as I\'ve said previously , it is a 2 yo race where big jump ups and regressions are relatively common place imo . In a perfect world I guess , another week or two rest for the horse would have been preferable just to be Conservative . I\'m not betting this one but plan to use Joy Boy today in the ( dmtc.com )DMR online contest and with some racing luck - get back in the standings and winning ways . ..
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I\'m going with Bruno B.(unless there\'s speed bias again today) He broke from the rail in debut dropped back early made pretty decent middle move wide on a speed favoring track that earned him a competitive figure. Looking for some improvement 2nd out and his M.L is 15-1.