Ask The Experts
General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: TGAB on April 22, 2011, 06:29:35 PM
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Now available for $25 as a Special product is a file containing Thoro-Graph sheets for the top 25 Kentucky Derby probables based on graded earnings as of 4/22/11. Also included are Thoro-Graph sheets for 17 Kentucky Oaks probables as listed by Churchill Downs as of 4/22/11.
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Awesome!
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Here here! Thx.
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The price is excellent for the amount of sheer numbers.Whats the additional in case of changes?
Thanks
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The X\'s in some of the last preps look like Derby X\'s.
Looking at pattern,timing and using two year old tops these DIRT HORSES look okay:
AAA-not too big a jump but with three weeks a pair up seems possible.
Toby\'s Corner-only developed a couple points at three-should at least run his race-might jump up.
Pants on Fire-jumped up pretty good in his last but now six weeks rest.
Shackleford-ugly FOY but everything else looks pretty good.Five weeks a positive.
Also MMM looks fine with six weeks but he\'s had three shots to get back to the Remsen.
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MMM may not need to get back to the Remsen to win this.
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AAA has improved alot very quickly. Too quickly. Three point jump and I am guessing a definite bounce.
Tobys Corner is hard to figure. Bounces slightly after new tops and ran against a poor field in Wood. May use, May toss.
Pants on Fire sure to bounce after perfect trip following impossible longshot then just cruising home. Toss.
Shackelford - Huge jump and a likely bounce. Toss.
MMM - Excellent pattern and must use.
I think comma to the top may just be the speed most likely to last here.
Tell me your opinions on Twinspired, Nehro, Brilliant Speed and MI. Thank you.
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pizzalove Wrote:
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> AAA has improved alot very quickly. Too quickly.
> Three point jump and I am guessing a definite
> bounce.
I think he\'s more of a coinflip to bounce on three weeks.If he pairs with a decent trip he\'s trouble.He\'s only improved 2.5 from the two year old top.Trainer record at CD a concern.
> Tobys Corner is hard to figure. Bounces slightly
> after new tops and ran against a poor field in
> Wood. May use, May toss.
I give him an extra point or so for the Wood trouble.If you can look past the Gotham he\'s solid in a lot of ways.I view him favorably-one of a few in the race with a chance to run a new top.Any pace even if it\'s moderate helps him.
> Pants on Fire sure to bounce after perfect trip
> following impossible longshot then just cruising
> home. Toss.
He doesn\'t have to bounce with six weeks rest.Bottom side breeding pretty good for ten furlongs.Agree the La Derby trip was soft.
> Shackelford - Huge jump and a likely bounce.
> Toss.
2.25 points isn\'t a huge jump.I\'m tossing his FOY disaster.Hoping he gets in.
> MMM - Excellent pattern and must use.
Difficult to make a case against.
> I think comma to the top may just be the speed
> most likely to last here.
Too many right turns in the stretch-think he\'s toast after a mile.Connections making a bad move here IMO.
> Tell me your opinions on Twinspired, Nehro,
> Brilliant Speed and MI. Thank you.
Not on fast dirt.
Can\'t toss him.
Not on fast dirt.
On the fence-hoping he draws really bad so I don\'t have to think about him.