Ask The Experts

General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: richiebee on November 21, 2014, 06:56:19 AM

Title: Saturday, Ozone Park
Post by: richiebee on November 21, 2014, 06:56:19 AM
Check out Readthebyline in Saturday\'s 8th at Aq, a division of the NY Stallion
Series. RTBL goes first off the re-claim for Michelle Nevin. Look at the result
Nevin got with RTBL the first time she ran him off the claim. A major move up on any
scale, or maybe another example of a runner dominating a race on the front end and
being awarded a (possibly) inflated performance figure.

Lightning striking again? Do you believe in magic? How high the moon? Or maybe after
looking at RTBL\'s TG sheet, \"I can\'t believe what I just saw!\"
Title: Re: Saturday, Ozone Park
Post by: TGJB on November 21, 2014, 12:34:30 PM
There are no inflated figures, just inflated figure makers.
Title: Re: Saturday, Ozone Park
Post by: bellsbendboy on November 21, 2014, 08:01:34 PM
No argument there... but knowing \"how\" a figure is earned is an essential part of integer \'capping.  bbb
Title: Re: Saturday, Ozone Park
Post by: horsegoer on November 22, 2014, 05:56:17 AM
Nevin has great stats and I\'m sure the horse will run good but how good? Not sure I would feel confident with 0 here and I think there are other with a good shot of running a top....the 2,3,4 &5
Title: Re: Saturday, Ozone Park
Post by: drbillym on November 22, 2014, 08:06:16 AM
In his Oct 24th Handicapping Insights column, Dick Powell points out that Readthebyline was one of several horses that were subjected to a dead rail on the Widener Turf course, who took the lead and faded.  Today, Mike Beer points out that RTBLines win was on a golden rail.  And ace handicapper Chris Larmey has him as his top selection today, so it looks like lower odds than expected, and not good value.
Title: Re: Saturday, Ozone Park
Post by: Dick Powell on November 22, 2014, 10:16:28 AM
Hi Billy,
For some reason this Fall at Belmont, there was not a single horse that went gate to wire at a mile on the Widener turf course and only Costenia won from post one. Readthebyline drew the rail two starts back, gunner to the front, and faded late. He came back at the same distance from post five and gunned to the front before tiring. For the record, I have him fourth today with Gridley Here on top.
Dick
Title: Re: Saturday, Ozone Park
Post by: horsegoer on November 22, 2014, 04:10:45 PM
Nice call Richiebee!!!!!
Title: Re: Saturday, Ozone Park
Post by: Tavasco on November 22, 2014, 05:11:37 PM
I second that promotion.

Love it when the the price goes up (not down) when clear after a 1/4 and generous again on final price.
Title: Re: Saturday, Ozone Park
Post by: drbillym on November 22, 2014, 05:22:30 PM
Got a good price afterall, thx Richie!
Title: Re: Saturday, Ozone Park
Post by: Fairmount1 on November 22, 2014, 07:28:58 PM
Fantastic work richiebee in the middle of a dead board period when pressure to choose a winner and views are as high as ever due to the limited number of posts.  

Keep it up.  Hope you cashed!!!  As you told me once......\"well struck!\"

#muchrespect