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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: P-Dub on October 30, 2015, 03:54:35 PM

Title: Race 8 Keeneland Juvenile FilliesTurf
Post by: P-Dub on October 30, 2015, 03:54:35 PM
I told myself 2 years ago never bet against a European horse in a BC turf race. I continue to do it too often.

The Euros in this race are 3,9,10,14. The 3,10 offer little value.  14 gets Lasix (as does the 3 at a much lower price) and is trained by Chad Brown. She\'s slower than many, but some of these Euros really jump up with Lasix. The 9 is also slower and isn\'t getting Lasix.  I\'m using the 14 in some fashion here, the outside post isn\'t a problem.

The 14 has a nice pattern that looks to me as if a forward move is likely, I think she hits the board at least and could very well win. She needs to move forward but why not? Castellano gets the mount.

Sapphire Kitten ran a very good race 1st route, can come flying late at a square price currently 9/1. Good numbers and pattern.

Going with a Euro #14.  Playing with 3,4,7,8,10
Title: Re: Race 8 Keeneland Juvenile FilliesTurf
Post by: johnnym on October 30, 2015, 04:05:41 PM
had the 8 as well moving on
Title: Re: Race 8 Keeneland Juvenile FilliesTurf
Post by: TGJB on October 30, 2015, 04:24:34 PM
As far as I can tell so far the Euro numbers are holding up pretty tight. We\'ll see when I do the figures, we\'ll post them.

Moore can ride.