Ask The Experts

Sheep Collagen was contained in the cocktail Bill Romanowski used to prolong his career in the NFL.

According to Romanowski, sheep collagen has an effect on endurance and strength.

So if Sheep Collagen was the only thing used by Navarro and Servis, where is the crime?  I cannot fathom a law specifically banning this substance.

The problem with enforcement is the criminals if smart enough will always be 2 steps ahead of the regulators.

So other than a horse being under 24 hour surveillance, how do you stop cheating?

If money is involved people will always try to cheat.

Unless I am very mistaken Instilled Regard was given by someone on this board as a wet horse move up.

So the discussion of Instilled Regard may be pertinent.

Just sayin. And if it was never mentioned and I imagined it, I apologize in advance.

Regarding the 4-5 coin toss bet, read up on the idea of Gambler\'s Ruin.
Your statement is not as simple as you make it out to be.

The Kelly criteria was theorized invented choose whichever word is best for you, to explain a set of circumstances where betting plus expected value can still lead to the Gambler\'s Ruin.

The problem with horse racing is it is almost impossible to have enough information to know 100% the correct amount to bet.

Or in other words it is very hard to maximize your play.

To the thorograph board this may be an assertion as I have presented neither the science nor the history of the Kelly criteria but if you are really that curious I suggest you do your own research.

You might be pleasantly surprised.

Thanks

John Perona

Don\'t discount the Flora Dora
6 ounces Ginger Beer
3 Ounces Hendricks Gin
2 Ounces Blackberry Syrup

It\'s very very nice.

If you are a Gin Drinker make it 4 ounces of Hendricks.

Enjoy

John

Rocky

I\'m not throwing stones.  As far as the gambler is concerned, horse racing is not a zero sum game.

It is a negative sum game.  The takeout is deducted from the pool.

The difference between a zero sum game where the computer robotic wagering systems have a slight edge thru ability to place bets late and a negative sum game where they receive a rebate and can always act last is a considerable difference.

While all my words may be assertions i.e. I have no proof.  If it walks like a duck, and it talks like a duck, it ain\'t a mongoose.

Computer Assisted Batch Wagering is bad for me. A small time recreational player.

Thanks

John Perona

Mike

Substitute Cantebury for Any Track USA, The reality is the game can only continue if the takeout is less.  How we get their is one question the other question do we get their or does the game die.

I\'ve played for close to 40 years the track was the ONLY place my entire family was happy.  It had something for everyone.

The only way change can come is if the players demand the change.

The only way to demand change is thru your actions.

Somebody needs to lead.  And the rest of us need to follow.  

Some might think the leading is the hard part, it isn\'t.  The hard part is following.

If anyone wants to approach any track and offer them an increase in handle on the condition that if the increase in handle comes, they will lower their take to 8% for the next meet I would play their exclusively.  Whats the worse that can happen.  They change their mind.  Then we call it quits.  We admit defeat and start playing poker.

From what I understand this board has a following of industry insiders.

Its time for one of them to step up and lead.

Thanks

John Perona

About 30 years ago their was an article in American Turf Monthly about a couple of wise guys who \"fixed\" a 6 horse race at Charles Town in much the same way as this race was \"fixed\".

Only difference was the end result.  The bettors got what was coming to them but it wasn\'t money.

Thanks

Wild Again

I don\'t know what your point is because I am on my 9th rum punch; but Mike Smith is the best jockey in the world right now.

Bar none. take it to the bank.

Thanks

Wild Again

Creative Cause is only an easy toss if you are using something other than the numbers to handicap.

8 weeks since the second fastest #.

Intervening race.

Generous odds.

Whats not to like.

Yeah Yeah Yeah 15%.

The real question is what does the pattern yield for stakes quality horses.

Go Creative Cause.

Thanks

Wild Again