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Messages - hotspringskid

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1
Ask the Experts / Who's the Bomb to Blow up the Exotics?
« on: April 30, 2017, 03:20:53 PM »
I\'m taking a shot with Sonneteer at 50-1 plus. I don\'t think he can win, but he has had steady improvement on dirt this year and ran the fastest last 1/16 of any of the entries in his last race of 11 3/5 and I\'m hoping the extra distance and at least a little bit of pace may help. He\'s worth a shot to get in the tri or super at those odds. There wasn\'t a lot of pace in the Arkansas Derby and he still closed strong. Any thoughts?

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Ask the Experts / Re: An off-topic post to lighten the mood
« on: April 23, 2017, 09:52:27 PM »
I don\'t have to outrun the bear. I just have to outrun you:)

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Ask the Experts / Re: Hats Of
« on: November 06, 2016, 03:38:15 PM »
Thanks from me as well. Hit the late P4. Great seminar. The grandkids got 10% of all winnings, so they really wanted Arrogate to win. Yes I know. I\'m a bad influence.

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Ask the Experts / Re: Preakness Day Dead Turf Rail Project
« on: June 07, 2016, 09:46:44 PM »
The first 4 horses you mentioned were not even close to the winner on Preakness Day and Copingaway on 7 days rest with a 1% trainer shouldn\'t even be included anyway. The horses we have coming up like Private Client and Evidently will tell the tale.

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Ask the Experts / Re: Dressed in Hermes
« on: May 09, 2016, 04:56:30 PM »
Twinspires crashed the year Big Brown won. Someone on this board convinced me Big Brown would not be compromised by the 20 post and I keyed him hard. Needless to say, many thousands of dollars were not made as I would have had the trifecta and super more than once. I don\'t like betting early, but on some days you have to or have a good plan B.

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Ask the Experts / Re: Present and future
« on: May 01, 2016, 07:49:55 PM »
Gettysburg the one to watch for the Preakness. He ran ridiculous fractions in the Arkansas Derby and still only faded to 5th by 5 lengths.

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Ask the Experts / Dallas Stewart
« on: April 30, 2016, 10:00:32 PM »
Can we ignore Tom\'s Ready for the exotics? He\'s not exactly awesome on number power, but let\'s not forget Golden Soul and Commanding Curve at long odds. Of course someone on this board did mention Commanding Curve was a very good play that year! He gets them to run their best on the first Saturday in May.

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Ask the Experts / FYI on Workouts
« on: April 22, 2016, 08:46:27 PM »
A friend just texted me a great website to watch Kentucky Derby workouts. helloracefans.com Hope this helps.

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Ask the Experts / Re: ROTW
« on: January 30, 2016, 06:20:13 PM »
Thanks TG for another great analysis! I was so focused on Oaklawn that I forgot about my SA wager that I had made earlier. Hope everyone is doing well in Vegas!

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Ask the Experts / Re: 4 Knocks -- American Pharoah
« on: May 04, 2015, 06:47:43 PM »
Guess we broke the short tail jinx. Probably carried less weight with that short tail. Next let\'s break the blue tail jinx. Lol

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Ask the Experts / Re: JB, sincere question for you
« on: April 22, 2015, 08:05:01 PM »
I live in Hot Springs and was lucky enough to see AP win the Arkansas Derby. I went home and watched the replay of AP\'s race several times. It appears to me that the reins were getting tighter the last 50 to 100 yards from the finish line. I have never been on a horse in my life, but it sure looked like he was trying to ease up AP at the end. Am I right or wrong?

12
Ask the Experts / Marchman
« on: November 30, 2013, 05:59:36 PM »
Thank you TG for the great numbers on Marchman in the 8th race at Fairgrounds. It was like picking money up off the ground. I could not believe he went off at 5 to 1. All he had to do was like turf just a little bit and he did. Thanks again.

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Ask the Experts / War Dancer
« on: July 13, 2013, 07:25:29 PM »
You said he would win a stakes in the near future. The future is now. Congrats!

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Ask the Experts / A New Way to Lose
« on: June 15, 2013, 06:05:24 PM »
First of all, let me thank JB for the analysis that I redboarded from May 27 at Belmont. I noticed he mentioned Suillebhain had a shot to get in the picture at long odds so I looked at the race that he lost that day by 7 lengths to finish 6th. He had a ton of trouble or JB would have been right on the money at 19-1 odds. I put him on my horses to watch list and he ran today at Belmont and won at 26-1 odds by 3 lengths and a hand ride. I\'m in Arkansas so post time for me would be 12:05. I get up early run my errands and get back home ready to make some money at Living Room Downs. I still have 2 hours till post, so I watch a little television while I wait for post time. I wake up at 12:30 after a 2 hour nap without having made any wager whatsoever on Suillebhain! I would shoot myself, but I would probably miss! Anyway keep up the good work JB. They don\'t always win the first time you like em, but they often win the second time when you don\'t bet em!

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Ask the Experts / Re: Ark Derby
« on: April 11, 2013, 08:41:40 PM »
We didn\'t get to see Zenyatta vs. Rachel in Hot Springs, but seeing Falling Sky win the Arkansas Derby would be the next best thing. Good luck and hope to see you get your picture took Saturday!

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