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« on: October 19, 2011, 11:36:04 AM »
It\'s never too early to discuss stuff like this!
While I agree that Uncle Mo is a huge question mark at the distance, I would rate HDG at least a small question mark at the same. I say that not having her sheet (and the DelCap figure) fresh in my mind. But I am certain that HDG\'s trainer and owner would both be more confident if the BC Classic were run at 1 1/8 as opposed to 1 1/4. Also gnawing at me just a little is HDG\'s less-than-stellar run in last year\'s Ladies Classic at CD. Though that last bit of negativism could probably be directed at Flat Out as well. But he wouldn\'t appear to have distance questions as part of the package.
THAS may prove to be a trickier read. I\'d almost insist on him being able to bounce and still win before I\'d play him on top. And I strongly doubt that will be the case given some of the other fast ones in here. I thought the rail on PA Derby day was about as golden as a rail can get. THAS, as I recall, was in the two-path throughout, which could be construed as a plus. But he was also close to the pace on a day when the only ones making up meaningful late ground were those few who could make their move up the fence. All things considered, I think his last race was probably at least a little bias-aided.
In any event, if a review of the sheets led me to think the BC Classic was a tossup between HDG and Flat Out, I know who I\'d be betting to win.