Ask The Experts

This truly is one of the more bizarre things I have seen in a while.

I don\'t see the horse as a huge player in the race. I really don\'t think a couple of good efforts for Mike Yates in Hallandale 16 months ago mean this horse is an auto contender in this field . In fact, the horse, off those GP efforts, showed up for low-tier trainer 5 months later and ran poorly before another long layoff off the Servis claim. If this horse was trained by Ubillo and ridden by Trujillo tomorrow, the horse would probably be 25-1. As it is, I think 12-1 is a pretty good ML.

Secondly, why do bad morning lines negatively impact your horizontal wagers? Let\'s say this line was off and this Servis horse is more like 3-1 on a real morning line. You have that information and not everyone else does. Doesn\'t that benefit you in pick 3, pick 4 etc? I\'m confused?

The ride Fairmount1 references (I won\'t mention the horses name as he didn\'t but if you follow the circuit you could figure it out) is fascinating in that its almost a carbon copy of the Ellis ride save for the fact that the pull back happens slightly later and this horse doesn\'t make up the ground. It would be interesting to study other rides and see if this really is a pattern.