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Ask the Experts / Re: Plus Que Parfait - Dubai
« on: May 02, 2019, 11:43:27 AM »
Thanks Jerry/Alan. I got it.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Plus Que Parfait - Dubai
« on: May 02, 2019, 06:15:46 AM »
So what is PQPs number for a 1w1w? Still a move forward?
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Ask the Experts / Plus Que Parfait - Dubai
« on: May 01, 2019, 07:30:12 PM »
If he was 4w second turn, I am an astronaut.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Bellafina Romps In Kentucky Oaks?
« on: May 01, 2019, 12:21:45 PM »
RR looks like a standout play to me. Even with the ground loss.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Gettin to know - Improbable
« on: April 29, 2019, 08:08:37 AM »
Praying for 10-1. Gut is telling me we might get only 8.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Improbable
« on: April 29, 2019, 03:00:34 AM »
bluechip21 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I’ll stand by my previous statement... if a City
> Zip wins, then I lose. I don’t have many strong
> opinions but I have this.
>
> For anyone who wants to talk about Collected,
> I’m wlling to go on about this one for days.
Many people said this about Bold Ruler. He only produced the greatest classic horse of that and any generation? Why? Dam side was loaded.
There is plenty of stamina available in Imp\'s bottom line. Plenty.
-------------------------------------------------------
> I’ll stand by my previous statement... if a City
> Zip wins, then I lose. I don’t have many strong
> opinions but I have this.
>
> For anyone who wants to talk about Collected,
> I’m wlling to go on about this one for days.
Many people said this about Bold Ruler. He only produced the greatest classic horse of that and any generation? Why? Dam side was loaded.
There is plenty of stamina available in Imp\'s bottom line. Plenty.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Tacitus Works
« on: April 28, 2019, 06:44:12 PM »
Forget the workout, I\'d be more concerned about him likely being at the end of his spring 3yo development and needing a find a little more in just four weeks. Either that or catch a perfect ground saving trip. Unlikely in 20 hours field with his plodding style.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Tacitus Works
« on: April 28, 2019, 01:18:13 PM »
I felt he was getting nudged along towards the end and didn\'t respond like he was interested. He\'s tough for me to back as a bounce candidate that bored in the lane in his last prep.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Derby Week
« on: April 28, 2019, 01:11:04 PM »
CoH too slow and an okay, not great pattern for a top big enough to win. Reacted poorly to left handed whip in Fla Derby. Working out just okay to my eye.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Derby Week
« on: April 28, 2019, 08:46:50 AM »
Concur with much of this.
Didn\'t think Imp was moving real well over the slop in Ark D and still got within a length of Beach on pure talent. He looked loaded for bear this morning. Total monster. Beach is a good horse but like you said, 9/2 in a field like this, no way. He\'s not distinguished himself from 4-5 other major contenders.
Was not impressed with Tac this morning. He was nudged a couple times in the lane and didn\'t look real interested.
BMS has that classic forward moving line that often hits the board, like Looking at Lee and Commanding Curve and he looked good this morning. Good bet for a top. Must use underneath.
WoW is a toss for me. Cannot count on a top after a soft tissue sprain less than two months ago.
WWW was into the bit this morning. Looks like a good bet to pair that January top, another must use underneath, if he draws well, saves all the ground, and the seas part for him at the right moment, look out. Another price use for me.
Thought CoH looked okay, but not the kind of work before ripping off a 3+ pt new top that is needed.
GW a must use near the top, BB has probably been nursing him along this spring.
A few others I\'m still molding my opinions on...
Didn\'t think Imp was moving real well over the slop in Ark D and still got within a length of Beach on pure talent. He looked loaded for bear this morning. Total monster. Beach is a good horse but like you said, 9/2 in a field like this, no way. He\'s not distinguished himself from 4-5 other major contenders.
Was not impressed with Tac this morning. He was nudged a couple times in the lane and didn\'t look real interested.
BMS has that classic forward moving line that often hits the board, like Looking at Lee and Commanding Curve and he looked good this morning. Good bet for a top. Must use underneath.
WoW is a toss for me. Cannot count on a top after a soft tissue sprain less than two months ago.
WWW was into the bit this morning. Looks like a good bet to pair that January top, another must use underneath, if he draws well, saves all the ground, and the seas part for him at the right moment, look out. Another price use for me.
Thought CoH looked okay, but not the kind of work before ripping off a 3+ pt new top that is needed.
GW a must use near the top, BB has probably been nursing him along this spring.
A few others I\'m still molding my opinions on...
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Ask the Experts / Re: Collmus
« on: June 10, 2018, 07:43:03 AM »
I don\'t think he\'s awful (*cough* Angela Hermann *cough), but he\'s definitely nowhere Durkin level. He\'s pretty average, but then he goes for the grand finish scream at the big moments and he just doesn\'t have the box for it at all. They could do way better.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Justify workouts
« on: May 31, 2018, 02:53:58 PM »
ajkreider Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Can\'t tell if serious.
>
> A nice horse, that hasn\'t run as fast as AP or Gun
> Runner or Arrogate. Hell, he hasn\'t run as fast
> as Gunnevera.
>
> C\'mon man.
+1. Not the first time and definitely won\'t be the last time the public fawns over a very average Champion. It\'s pretty much the name of the game with the way the media needs to promote the sport.
-------------------------------------------------------
> Can\'t tell if serious.
>
> A nice horse, that hasn\'t run as fast as AP or Gun
> Runner or Arrogate. Hell, he hasn\'t run as fast
> as Gunnevera.
>
> C\'mon man.
+1. Not the first time and definitely won\'t be the last time the public fawns over a very average Champion. It\'s pretty much the name of the game with the way the media needs to promote the sport.
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Ask the Experts / Re: I Will Be the First
« on: May 21, 2018, 03:30:07 AM »
HOF jockey and all but seriously, Mike is full of total shit, sorry.
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Ask the Experts / Re: I Will Be the First
« on: May 20, 2018, 03:41:05 PM »
Hofburg and Tenfold. The two most Belmont looking horses I\'ve seen in years.
Both move like they can click 25 seconds off for days.
Both move like they can click 25 seconds off for days.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair…
« on: May 20, 2018, 09:07:41 AM »
>
> Just as a starting point for this argument, when
> the best horse wins the race, it\'s hard to argue
> any kind of bias. If giant prices were regularly
> placing higher than they should of based on
> speed-based trips, that is when a bias may be
> coming into play. I don\'t see much evidence of
> that in looking thru the charts.
>
Bingo. Humans are awesome creatures when it comes to imagination. Gamblers, in particular, think they have to find a reason to explain everything.
> Just as a starting point for this argument, when
> the best horse wins the race, it\'s hard to argue
> any kind of bias. If giant prices were regularly
> placing higher than they should of based on
> speed-based trips, that is when a bias may be
> coming into play. I don\'t see much evidence of
> that in looking thru the charts.
>
Bingo. Humans are awesome creatures when it comes to imagination. Gamblers, in particular, think they have to find a reason to explain everything.
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