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Messages - onward800

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1
Ask the Experts / Re: Track Cancellations
« on: January 10, 2025, 04:55:31 AM »
Lions and tigers and bears, oh my!

Fires and smoke at Santa Anita
Winter storm alert 2-4\" snow forecast for Turfway Park
Winter storm alert 3-6\" snow forecast for Oaklawn Park
Gale warning 20-30 knot winds forecast for Fairgrounds

But then, weather forecasts are spot on about as often as a single in the last leg of a P5

2
Ask the Experts / Re: Is Baffert About Ready to Steal a Pacific Classic
« on: September 01, 2024, 06:52:49 AM »
The other Baffert upset by the other O\'Niel.

3
Ask the Experts / Re: Sierra Leone in the Dandy
« on: July 27, 2024, 07:58:14 PM »
The pace was much slower than I expected.
23.80 47.44 111.27 136.14

4
Ask the Experts / Re: Preakness
« on: May 18, 2024, 02:41:58 AM »
It\'s so close between CF and TG, I don\'t think the actual betting favorite will be decided until they pass the 7/8ths pole. Maybe the same for the 3rd favorite

5
Ask the Experts / Re: Preakness
« on: May 18, 2024, 01:46:00 AM »
BES/Preakness double will pays show Tuscan Gold as a slight favorite.

Winner #GUN SONG

S2 Double Pays:

MUGATU $708.40

UNCLE HEAVY $204.60

CATCHING FREEDOM $30.60

MUTH

MYSTIK DAN $35.20

SEIZE THE GREY $114.40

JUST STEEL  $98.00

TUSCAN GOLD $30.00

IMAGINATION $34.20

6
Ask the Experts / Re: Pegasus Turf
« on: January 27, 2024, 06:46:55 AM »
Will anyone be surprised if the Dutrow horse pairs last year\'s top?

7
Ask the Experts / Re: Uh oh.
« on: November 16, 2023, 08:21:56 PM »
Obviously I find this story entertaining, and apologies to any of you who don\'t. Here is a link to the best explanation of what went on


https://tinyurl.com/3xbunvnx

8
Ask the Experts / Re: Uh oh.
« on: November 16, 2023, 04:54:49 PM »
It might not have been the work of a super smart AI and deep pockets CAW. It might have been an observant 10 cent super bettor. Apparently, if you used the ALL button on supers and tris and Hi 5s at Fan Duel, you were only charged the amount of the base bet not the combination amount. A $.10 ALL,ALL,ALL,ALL super cost $.10! Naturally, the bettor had to see what would happen if he made the base amount $20. He got noticed. Interesting story. I hope all the details come out. Incredible if that\'s really the way it went down.

9
Ask the Experts / Uh oh.
« on: November 15, 2023, 10:13:05 PM »
The AI engines making bets for CAWs discovered the the ALL button. Once you start doing that it\'s hard to go back. $750,00 bet into CD HI 5 pool. $20 unit bet using ALL x ALL x ALL x ALL X ALL. $950,00 and $1,000,000 bet into superfecta pools at Monticello and Meadowlands superfecta pools. Or maybe AI is devolping a perverse sense of humor.

10
Ask the Experts / Re: Chris McCarron: What a Drag
« on: June 26, 2023, 10:33:39 PM »
It might have been more of an owner request than a trainer decision  but I recall Pletcher and Lucas using them. But then my recollection is not too reliable.

11
Ask the Experts / Re: Chris McCarron: What a Drag
« on: June 26, 2023, 09:06:54 PM »
I remember those tight fitting aerodynamic silks. It seems they were somewhat popular and used by a handful of trainers and owners for less than a year. If they were good for a 15 ft advantage why didn\'t they get widely adopted?

12
Ask the Experts / Re: Belmont day…
« on: June 17, 2023, 10:51:32 PM »
Yes, almost certainly an underlay. The question is will his next race be an X? If he doesn\'t X, he could win again with a ground saving trip. And you know Javier is going to hug the rail next time out with this horse.

13
Ask the Experts / Belmont seminar
« on: June 07, 2023, 07:02:04 PM »
Thanks for the Belmont day analysis.

So your saying Il Miracolo has a chance.

14
Ask the Experts / Re: Shancelot
« on: July 31, 2019, 01:16:00 AM »
I don\'t want to be a cynical wise guy or Debbie Downer, but surely there is a considerable chance that  it was too fast and too much exertion for the horse\'s good, and that he might not be the same after that performance. I remember McCleans Music: 21.24, 43.48, 55.05, 107.44 - 114 Beyer, fastest debut Beyer at the time. I wish Shanceleot happiness, good health, and many wins. But surely there must be healthy limits even for Navarro trainees.

15
Ask the Experts / Re: Saratoga closed
« on: July 19, 2019, 09:37:28 AM »
Similar forecast for Monmouth

https://bit.ly/2GkhIdL

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