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Ask the Experts / Re: Derby Picks
« on: May 06, 2022, 02:50:07 PM »
I was also at Keeneland that day and Smile Happy looked like a carousel horse coming down the lane....he had NO answer to the winner. Maybe underneath in the super.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Wesley Ward - A couple of old srories
« on: May 01, 2022, 05:54:09 AM »
Great point.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Baffert redux
« on: April 27, 2022, 08:16:53 AM »
Unfortunately, there are a lot of \'Lance Armstrongs\' in this business. I\'m not confused about that.
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Ask the Experts / Re: After The Wood Memorial
« on: April 27, 2022, 08:14:17 AM »
I don\'t disagree with you at all. I just meant that his pedigree wouldn\'t pose a problem. I view SoCal racing, these days, as a hot house environment. Top notch outfits have left there, ceding the place to Baffert. He took full advantage of it.
So be it.
I realize that conventional wisdom, which is wisdom for a reason, would hold that this horse had the easiest time of it in the SA Derby and that he has insufficient racing under his belt. HOWEVER, that doesn\'t negate the fact that he ran very fast. And because of the FU a win would represent to the KY commission, I feel fairly sure that the horse will be feeling no pain on May 7th.
So I have to use him in some capacity.
So be it.
I realize that conventional wisdom, which is wisdom for a reason, would hold that this horse had the easiest time of it in the SA Derby and that he has insufficient racing under his belt. HOWEVER, that doesn\'t negate the fact that he ran very fast. And because of the FU a win would represent to the KY commission, I feel fairly sure that the horse will be feeling no pain on May 7th.
So I have to use him in some capacity.
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Ask the Experts / Re: After The Wood Memorial
« on: April 26, 2022, 07:43:10 AM »
Does it matter where a horse is bred when it has Fappiano top and bottom of the sire pedigree and Mr. Prospector top and bottom of the dam pedigree? And multiple graded stakes horses throughout the pedigree?
I think not.
I think not.
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Ask the Experts / Re: After The Wood Memorial
« on: April 23, 2022, 08:17:52 AM »
Is Mo Donegal a bounce candidate? I don\'t see how the horse isn\'t just that. Plus, TAP has a fairly deep history of cranking them for the preps and then going flat in the big race. I\'ll pass on the horse.
I\'m more interested in what this group thinks of Baffert\'s SA Derby winner. I don\'t give a damn who they LIST as trainer....can a horse with such a lack of seasoning repeat the race or does he bounce also?
I\'m more interested in what this group thinks of Baffert\'s SA Derby winner. I don\'t give a damn who they LIST as trainer....can a horse with such a lack of seasoning repeat the race or does he bounce also?
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Ask the Experts / Re: Is Taiba In The KY Derby Good For Horse Racing
« on: April 15, 2022, 07:33:13 AM »
Test positive for what? There are two significant medications that cannot be detected. Does it matter if Baffert\'s horse hasn\'t had a positive?
No.
But it won\'t matter in this case.....that horse won a typical SoCal hothouse race and will not likely bring it with him to Kentucky.
No.
But it won\'t matter in this case.....that horse won a typical SoCal hothouse race and will not likely bring it with him to Kentucky.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Godolphin
« on: April 12, 2022, 04:20:00 PM »
Brad Cox is a god....possibly the greatest trainer ever.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Sunday Morning Quarterbacking
« on: April 10, 2022, 09:37:58 AM »
The TG seminar got the Wood \'right enough\'? I\'m not complaining....it\'s horse racing after all.
But the seminar said MoDonegal was a \"bet against.\" Or did I misread that?
While I\'m at it, Chad had better than a \'good day\' at Keeneland. That horse closed into a modest pace and made up impressive ground in the last eighth. Talk about quickening.
But the seminar said MoDonegal was a \"bet against.\" Or did I misread that?
While I\'m at it, Chad had better than a \'good day\' at Keeneland. That horse closed into a modest pace and made up impressive ground in the last eighth. Talk about quickening.
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Ask the Experts / Re: The Wood Memorial
« on: April 07, 2022, 07:10:02 AM »
The only advantage that horses have, moving up from Florida this time of year, is climate. They should like the colder weather. Easier to breathe.
Having said that, Morello took a big step forward off his layoff and will be very tough if he moves forward again, if only a modest amount. His main competition should come from Early Voting with a similar pattern and Golden Code who has improved from start to start (something you should want to see from horses at this stage).
Having said that, Morello took a big step forward off his layoff and will be very tough if he moves forward again, if only a modest amount. His main competition should come from Early Voting with a similar pattern and Golden Code who has improved from start to start (something you should want to see from horses at this stage).
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Ask the Experts / SGF 1000
« on: April 03, 2022, 12:10:50 PM »
It didn\'t take a lot of research to find the site below. This is a description of the benefits of SGF 1000, which is the illegal pharmaceutical used by Navarro, Servis, and apparently many others.
Please give this a read. I\'m mostly interested in seeing what you think about the drug. And whether there is any reason not to give it to horses of all breeds. It may be a PED or it may be considered a therapeutic benefit they should all have. What\'s your opinion?
https://sgf1000.com/vecta-sgf-1000-activation
Please give this a read. I\'m mostly interested in seeing what you think about the drug. And whether there is any reason not to give it to horses of all breeds. It may be a PED or it may be considered a therapeutic benefit they should all have. What\'s your opinion?
https://sgf1000.com/vecta-sgf-1000-activation
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Ask the Experts / Re: Arkansas Derby
« on: April 02, 2022, 01:01:17 PM »
You may be right, but several of Baffert\'s horses (and mostly favorites) have recently run off the board outside the SoCal jurisdiction.
Was he helping them less while under scrutiny? Oaklawn would be one place that he has had to be extra careful....no?
Was he helping them less while under scrutiny? Oaklawn would be one place that he has had to be extra careful....no?
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Ask the Experts / Re: Tampa Bay Derby
« on: March 12, 2022, 11:23:13 AM »
Shipsational over Happy Boy Rocket, Classic Causeway and Giant Game.
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Ask the Experts / Re: A Tale of Two Tracks
« on: March 10, 2022, 09:47:53 AM »
An extreme example of this happened at the Breeders Cup in 2013. Baffert was skunked for 2 days, including with Game on Dude in the Classic. My only claim to fame, as a participant in the BC Betting Challenge, was at the table with other players. Where I forecast on Friday that none of Baffert\'s entries had the best numbers in any race, especially GOD. The only significant bet I hit was the Classic...the trifecta, with Baffert off the board.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Oaklawn: Bet this, not that…
« on: February 27, 2022, 10:17:16 AM »
Apparently Baffert couldn\'t take any chances at Oaklawn....that horse was probably scrubbed clean of anything that might result in new charges and accusations. In fact, this may prove to be the case wherever he enters a horse outside of his safe SoCal home. Keep an eye on it and bet accordingly.