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Ask the Experts / Re: NEW RULE: Lost in the Fog
« on: August 22, 2006, 04:18:33 PM »
Lost in the Fog wasn\'t undefeated at the end of his 3YO season. He was off the board in the BC Sprint.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Arlington Million
« on: July 21, 2006, 10:08:47 AM »
Agreed Chinn\'s is an excellent choice. Besides the great seafood, good steaks as well. The Mai Tais are a must have.
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Ask the Experts / Re: MAJESTIC ZEAL
« on: June 26, 2006, 09:12:45 AM »
Agree it was a huge race by Majestic Zeal. I\'m glad to see its not a walkover for the ultra chalk and maybe next time the finish gets reversed.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Path Thoughts
« on: June 15, 2006, 11:04:13 AM »
I may have mixed up Pussycat Doll and Behaving Badly. The winner was wide throughout in that race.
FWIW, it was Bushfire, not Joint Effort, who won the Acorn. For some reason, Bushfire gets no respect.
FWIW, it was Bushfire, not Joint Effort, who won the Acorn. For some reason, Bushfire gets no respect.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Path Thoughts
« on: June 12, 2006, 01:59:06 PM »
Weren\'t Sacred Light and Pussycat Doll beaten favorites that day? Sacred Light was a non-threatening 2nd and PD looked like a winner until she went to the rail in the stretch. And they were both beaten by horses who stayed well out in the middle of the track.
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Ask the Experts / Re: How wide was Deputy Glitters in the Derby?
« on: June 09, 2006, 12:24:39 PM »
There seems to be a trackman/chartman at Churchill who has been tremendously exaggerating what path each horse is in. I remember this happening in the mid 90s at Gulfstream. 3 wide would be labeled anywhere from 7-9 wide. They must be using Shetland ponys to figure path-width at Equibase.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Davidowitz
« on: June 06, 2006, 09:09:04 AM »
Like him or not, \"Betting Thoroughbreds\" is one of the best handicapping books ever written. There\'s more than one way to skin a cat; T-Graph/the Sheets may be one way, but a lot of Davidowitz\'s \"ancient\" ideas still work.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Lost in the Fog
« on: June 05, 2006, 11:42:47 AM »
I wouldn\'t exactly say he \"crushed\" Kelly\'s Landing. :22 for an opening quarter for a 6f race at Churchill is slow. Look at most 6f races there and :21 3/5 is the norm. There must be a long run to the beam that starts the timer for the 6f races. In any event, Kelly\'s Landing was wider than LItF was, and had to close on a softish pace and he still wasn\'t beaten much.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Anybody Want To Do Some Research?
« on: May 22, 2006, 02:27:15 PM »
Don\'t forget Union City.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Early Preakness ODDS LINE
« on: May 16, 2006, 02:31:18 PM »
Yeah but this race won\'t....brother
I\'ve been making odds lines for over 20 years....how about you Mr. High Roller??
I\'ve been making odds lines for over 20 years....how about you Mr. High Roller??
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Ask the Experts / Re: Early Preakness ODDS LINE
« on: May 16, 2006, 02:03:54 PM »
If Barbaro is 4-5, Brother Derek will be no higher than 3-1. And no way in the world Bernardini is bet lower than SNS. I don\'t care what kind of number he ran in the match race Withers.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Early Preakness ODDS LINE
« on: May 16, 2006, 11:24:28 AM »
Better get ready for 9-2. Maybe even 4-1
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Ask the Experts / Re: most likely winner
« on: May 15, 2006, 09:16:44 AM »
I interpret \"most likely winner\" to mean they/he felt that the horse would be the favorite but probably wouldn\'t be value. The horse certainly could win the race but there really wasn\'t a compelling reason to bet it at the given price.
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Ask the Experts / Re: PREAKNESS-2 HORSE RACE PERIOD?
« on: May 12, 2006, 04:05:18 PM »
I\'m not sure why the strong respect for Bernadini. He basically won a match race in a one turn mile against Luxembourg and won a one turn mile against maidens at GP. Unless they make the Preakness a one turn mile, he doesn\'t have a chance to finish in front of either BD or SNS, let alone Barbaro. And he might not beat Like Now, either.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Odds and Ends from CD May 6, 2006
« on: May 12, 2006, 08:47:25 AM »
Morbid? He wasn\'t on my tickets. I found it quite pleasant actually.