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« on: April 21, 2017, 06:26:29 PM »
Sekrah
I agree with a lot of what you are saying.
I do not believe he improved 9 points. On the numbers he did.But he won those races with much in the tank. That is what I believe. I may be wrong, but I don\'t think so. So, in my opinion, when he runs with better he will show it in the figures. I don\'t think you can make a living with this approach, but sometimes you have to trust your gut.His workouts reinforced my opinion leading into the Fla. Derby. His next workout at Churchill will tell me a lot. Is he worth 5 or 6-1?
I am not sure.
I also believe Pletcher is tweaking his approach as Sekrah said in an earlier post. Destin was handled in a different manner than what Pletcher had been doing. This horse differently as well.He realizes he has to make changes to have success in this race.I think he is doing that.
I posted prior to the Fla Derby about this horses workouts and how impressive they were. On the numbers he was nowhere near a play I would ever make. But I did. Sometimes you have to go by a feel. It isn\'t always scientific.
A few years back I had Animal Kingdom. That was based on his workout prior to the Derby I saw on \"The Works\".
Probably the best work that year the week before the Derby.
Numbers would not have put me on him. I believe he won the Spiral on Synthetic earning a 3.
99% of the time I am strictly a numbers player. I rely on Tgraph and Timeform.
This is a real racehorse.
We all have ideas about this race and I am just sharing mine.
Good luck to all.