Reading Too Much Into Things?

[toppled]

That\'s another reason I\'m forgiving his Wood.  He was inside getting assaulted by Vino in the stretch-double whammy.  I\'m hoping he ends up in the auxiliary gate.  If he gets post 1, I\'ll be off him immediately.

[ajkreider]

I think big\'s worry is that a wide trip means Enticed can get a decent number and still not find his way into the super.  He\'s a nice enough horse, but is he a Big Brown/I\'ll Have Another type that can win from out there, especially against this field?

[Dana666]

He\'s huge, physically imposing, coupled with his speed and relative inexperience, the idea that he could move forward is really daunting for the competition. I think the fact that he\'s fresh is actually a positive, not a negative.  No one knows what a triple crown winner looks like until they win it lol

[BitPlayer]

Jay Privman offered some insight on this topic yesterday on Steve Byk\'s show. He made three points:

Baffert shipped Abel Tasman in on top of the Oaks last year.  He did not have a Derby horse.

The track you train over at CD is very likely to be different from the Derby track.

Coordinating the travel plans of Justify and Solomini (who had limited travel options after the Arkansas Derby) was a consideration.

[ronwar]

Baffert addressed the decision to have Justify’s final work in California instead of over the Churchill Downs surface.

“This track at Santa Anita is a very deep, demanding track and they get really fit here,” Baffert said. “We’ve shipped all over and I don’t think there’s a big difference. We used to go there a few weeks early but last year we went in the week before and won the Kentucky Oaks. I don’t think it makes a difference.”

courtesy of The Downey Profile