Saturday 7/5- Monmouth Park (7th Race)

[MonmouthGuy]

IMHO, Very live 20-1 ML horse in Ambience.  Plesa has decent first turf and turf to dirt numbers and Castro gets the ride on what looks to be the fastest horse in the race with a solid tg pattern.  If this comes off the turf I think she\'s the winner at shorter odds but she has been ITM 7 of 8 times including both races at Monmouth (1 in the mud), well bet in all her races, and I would include her even if it stays on the turf.

[MonmouthGuy]

The good news.

Ambience won in a handride as the 3rd choice.

The bad news.  It was a short field b/c it was moved to the dirt.

[Michael D.]

I\'ll take a $7.40 winner any day. good pick.

what\'s the pick in the big one?

[Uncle Buck]

You didn\'t ask my opinion in the UN Michael D - but I took the position of throwing out the Frankel horse on the rail. It was the only way to make any value of the race IMO. I played the 8 over the 2,3,4,9. We\'ll see

[Michael D.]

Uncle Buck Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> You didn\'t ask my opinion in the UN Michael D -
> but I took the position of throwing out the
> Frankel horse on the rail. It was the only way to
> make any value of the race IMO. I played the 8
> over the 2,3,4,9. We\'ll see


I used SAD last. got back to the \'3\', and pattern says a run in the \'2\' range. distance the concern.

longshot stab for me - Crown Point at the ml of 20-1. has a bunch of 3\'s on the sheet, including one 2nd off the layoff last year. \'8\' last is a bit ugly, but the pace was extremely slow.

[Uncle Buck]

Frankel\'s horse is such a quitter. Tough beat for me. Didn\'t bet the #8 to place or box with the winner. This was NOT a grade 1 race. Gimme a break