Travers undercard Race 7

[dodie]

Race 7
I think this is essentially a two horse race, Sir Lowry and Prussian.  I haven\'t seen the morning line yet, but . . .
Sir Lowry - 2/1 Quintessential steadily improving, well managed grass horse.
Prussian - 7/2 Again, well managed, good spacing
I then have the ITM\'s (all about 8/1 or 12/1 or so to win)
Baron Von Tap
Holiday Trip
Broadway Producer
Pennington

[Michael D.]

6th - Hammock (12-1)

two firm turf runs, two 5.75\'s.

comes in on seven weeks, a strong category for the trainer, draws well, and returns to his preferred going.


5th - Uncle Indy is interesting at 8-1. two runs in the 7 range last year followed by two rough Sar trips. got caught behind a dawdling pace last over the inner and showed little. draws inside here, and could pop a new top with a sweeping 3 wide move over the Mellon.

Tizzy could also hit the board here at long odds (15-1 ml). 10 top last year, and two 8.5 runs this year. McPeek does well of the layoff, and does well with Albarado up (has to be the only one). post 2.

[Silver Charm]

I lke Balletti a little in the 6th. Penna is good off any kind of rest short or long.

Moved up big after the trainer change in the winter/spring. May be ready for another small move.

However will need it and a clean trip. This like all the other races is a tough one.

[HP]

I like those two in the fifth Michael D and I would add...Yuletide at the m/l price.  

I\'m with you on Hammock in the sixth.  Is that rail horse really going to be 3-1?  Balletti doesn\'t strike me as great value.  If it\'s FIRM...I will have to find room for Extra Zip at the price.  Maybe Blue Lion a little?  Just Julian looks like a threat off AEs.  Tough race but could be some huge mutuels, may be worth the spread-out cost.  

Looks like the fourth could be nice value too.  I don\'t like any of the short priced horses in there.  I think Gold Paegentry could move up, back to some of his better ones from last year.  Tobruk and Cardiff Road look interesting too, and the latter looks like a win bet for me.  May have to find room on the bottom of exotics for Triple Bogey Blues and the...15 if it\'s in.  

Good luck.  Deep card and how!  

HP

[flushedstraight]

Michael D. Wrote:
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> 5th - Uncle Indy is interesting at 8-1. two runs
> in the 7 range last year followed by two rough Sar
> trips. got caught behind a dawdling pace last over
> the inner and showed little. draws inside here,
> and could pop a new top with a sweeping 3 wide
> move over the Mellon.


The switch to Rajiv could make a big difference. He\'s been rock solid riding in NY; he\'s patient and likes hanging by the hedges. Of course sometimes that leads to tough beats (Hard To Explain?..... AAAARGH!)

[smalltimer]

I\'m gonna double key Hammock 12/1 and Picou 15/1 over several in here.  
I\'m taking a shot at some supers with Parc Des Princes 3/1, Big Stick 8/1, Al Nasr Dream 12/1, Extra Zip 15/1, Baletti 7/2 underneath.
Real tough race and I probably should just stay out of it.

I\'m playing a little Pick 3 starting in Race 6 with both Hammock and Picou to Sir Lowry/Prussian/Whata Ya Mean to Indyanne.  

Like most players, I enjoy Travers day.  May as well get involved, even though the card is tough.

Good luck to all

[drbillym]

Al Nasr Dream in 6th has faced good ones in France.  Kenneally/Leparoux should be ready first US start.

[Silver Charm]

Nice one HP and Michael D.

I threw the 10 in on top of the three you guys recommended but downsized from a Tri to and Exacta at the last minute.

Ouch again!!!

[Boscar Obarra]

Howz this. The lowest possible exacta payoff in the 6th race was $60.

[Michael D.]

Silver Charm Wrote:
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> Nice one HP and Michael D.
>
> I threw the 10 in on top of the three you guys
> recommended but downsized from a Tri to and Exacta
> at the last minute.
>
> Ouch again!!!


re 5th - ouch indeed. I had the 2 and 3 on every exotic ticket, and the 10 underneath on about half. cashed not a penny.

Alan gave out the 2 as well, but was smart enough to save with the 10.

[HP]

Thanks SC.  I did not make a dime.  I don\'t feel like I played badly...came close on a few...oh wah wah wah!  Yeesh.  On some level you have to be a masochist to like this game!  HP

[easygoer89]

What was the last out # on the 10 as his sheet was missing from the book sold at Saratoga

[Silver Charm]

14 then a 9.