covelj70 Wrote:
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> thanks to all for some great discussion on the
> board the last few weeks, I have been a slient
> follower
>
> I don\'t think the TGs/TG theoires are as relevant
> for the Belmont as I do for every other race given
> the distance and so I haven\'t shared thoughts
> since the thoughts have nothing to do with the
> figures
>
> I think the Belmont comes down to
>
> pedigree
> running style
> a jock that understands how to ride a mile and a
> half race
> which all translate into...
> ...ability to get the distance
>
> much more than figures
>
> that said, some of the TG theory in the form of
> weight and ground loss certainly applies to the
> Brooklyn, a 2 mile turf race on Friday that is the
> first part of a Brooklyn/Belmont double
OK, lets straighten things out. The two mile turf race on Friday is the Belmont
Gold Cup Invitational; the Brooklyn will be run at 1-1/2 on Saturday to placate
figure makers who will have some vague point of reference for making a figure for
the Belmont Stakes later in the day (LETS KEEP CLOSE WATCH ON THE SHADOW OF THE
GRANDSTAND).
> Twilight Eclipse is a tremendous horse and the fan
> in me would love to see a WPT sweep of the
> Brroklyn/Belmont double as I find the WPT
> connections emminently more likeable than Chrome\'s
> connections but the gambler in me thinks Twilight
> Eclpise is vulnerable giving up as much as 12
> pounds going two miles to some other very nice
> horses in the first start back from Dubai which
> can take alot out of horses. I would also note
> Albertrani\'s 1 or 23 record at the current meet.
Speaking of owner likeability, we never held it against Lou Wolfson, owner of the
last Triple Crown winner, that he spent nine months in Federal prison for selling
unregistered stock. In the 2 miler, Barclay Tagg\'s runner has competitive TGs,
likes Belmont, and should be 10/1 or more based on his recent camera shyness.
> The filly in the race gets in very light at 110
> assuming the rider can make 110? and she should be
> able to save some ground, the Bobby Flay charge is
> well suited to the distance (if there is such a
> thing at 2 miles) and gets Javier in what surely
> has to become a riders race. The other one I
> would use is Eagle Poise as I can forgive his last
> on good turf and believe he can get the ditance,
> especially getting 6 pds from Twilight Eclipse
The filly had a magical mystery tour in the Sheepshead Bay, pressing the pace,
dropping out of contention, then rallying in the lane. The favorite has never won
at Belmont although almost all of his races there have been Gr 1.
> So, let\'s try a 3x3 double with Irish Mission,
> Auld Alliance and Eagle Poise over Wicked Strong,
> Medal Count and Commissioner.
Public Service Announcement: There is also an \"overnight\" daily double combining
Friday\'s True North and Saturday\'s Metropolitan.
> Thoughts are most welcome, thanks!
