In an effort to be a contributor to the board and not just a complainer, I invite your attention to race 5 at PRX today, a MSW sprint for 2yo fillies and the 5/2 ML fave, 2nd time starter Lady Forest. I think she\'s a great horse to try to beat. Biggest knock is she was a vet scratch 16 Dec. Second, she is only the third fastest horse in the race. In fact, she is only 1/4 point faster than the other second time starter in the race, Cashie\'s Way, who is 6/1 on the ML. LF showed speed in her first out, but now Demasi puts Blinkers on, an 11% move according to BRIS for an overall 13% trainer. Why the Blinks now?
It\'s a great betting race because every other horse in the field also has a chance to win. I\'m going to begin narrowing down the field by tossing Whywhatabrat for a 5% trainer. I\'m going to focus win bets on two horses: Total Rout at 10/1 ML (primary pick) and Cashie\'s Way at 6/1 ML. TR\'s sire Military has a better TGI with sprinters, so the turn back won\'t hurt. Reid\'s 19% and positive ROI on the turnback also add to the appeal. Lastly, If TR shows up in front bandages, note Reid is 36% with 42 starters and a positive ROI with this move. Last, but most important, she has 2 months since her top with an interim forward move.
