Rags on Wood and Gazelle

[miff]

So Cal,

Hear you, everyone has to go with their own interpretation and comfort zone. Last comment on Wood Day:

1. Can\'t make the top two in the Wood

2. Can\'t make a pair for El Kabir

3. Can\'t make Gazelle winner CC backing up only 1.25 from prior race.

Good luck!!

Mike

[SoCalMan2]

miff Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> So Cal,
>
> Hear you, everyone has to go with their own
> interpretation and comfort zone. Last comment on
> Wood Day:
>
> 1. Can\'t make the top two in the Wood
>
> 2. Can\'t make a pair for El Kabir
>
> 3. Can\'t make Gazelle winner CC backing up only
> 1.25 from prior race.
>
> Good luck!!
>
> Mike

Sorry to beat a dead horse, but even if you add two points to all the horses in the Wood, Frosted still looks to me likely to run the same effort in the Derby.  If he ran a -2, I would give him a pair up in the Derby.  If he ran a zero, I would have him coming back to his 2yo top and forecast him to move forward to a -2.  To each their own, but that is the way I see Frosted.  Call me a Flake.

[RICH]

that is an excellant point, miff, can you throw out how much slower the top 2 should be in your eyes?

[TGJB]

Just to avoid any confusion on this, I have about 50 races listed for review going as far back as early Feb, and the Wood is not one of them. It\'s right.

If you make it slower a) it would make even less sense with the day, and b) it would make less sense for the horses in that race. The winner was coming off a throat operation and only ran 2 points better than his 2yo top. Tencador (who I tried to get bought going into the race and bet that day) gets a new top no matter what you do, you can\'t match him to earlier figures. The rest would look worse.

[miff]

JB,

It\'s not allowed that \"The rest would look worst\" Wtf does that even mean? Horses are supposed to \"look\" like what they ran, not pretty on the graph.

Mike

[TGJB]

How do you determine \"what they ran\"?