I don\'t understand why Swipe went off at only 29-1 in Pool 4. If, as has been reported, he goes in the Lexington, he rises to only 22 points if he wins. Admittedly, there will be some leakage as the Derby approaches because colts develop problems or owners decide the cause is hopeless (less so this year because there are fewer standouts?), but 22 points would only put Swipe at number 17 on the current list and 12 horses are going to add at least 20 points in the next 4 preps. Only six horses now above 22 points are planning to run in one of those races.