SoCalMan2 Wrote:
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> at 7 min to post, there are two Chad Browns in
> this race that both look about the same, but one
> is 1-2 and the other is 8-1. The 1 horse had a
> nice 3yo campaign and debuted at 4 with a 4 point
> jump up in the North American Debut. The 2 horse
> is from South America, so although listed as a 5
> year old is actual a late in the year 4yo. She
> has run just as good a number and she has done it
> several times. The horse that is 1-2 is 3 wins
> (two graded stakes wins) for 8 ties while the 8-1
> is 7 wins (6 graded stakes wins) for 13 tries.
> The odds must be crazy. I say a healthy win bet
> on Dacita so long as she remains 5-1 or longer.
> You may not win, but you will win at least 30% of
> the time in my view which is enough at the odds.
Fortunately, she dropped to 9-2 only after I already placed my bet with a minute to go. I forgot to mention, she beat Tepin last year, so she ain\'t no slouch.
