Which one of these two things seems more likely?
1. 49,527 people attended Saratoga today.
2. The pick 5 consisting of 23.50 to 1 (9th choice of 10), 15.80 to 1 (8th choice of 9), 1.30 to 1 (favorite), 22.70 to 1 (8th choice of 10, $.40 from 9th choice), and 13.60 to 1 (7th choice of 9) is hit and pays $560k to one ticket.
No worries about which to pick. Both happened according to the chart.