Of course everything depends on who can run in this particular slop, but the only other horse in the race besides Lewisfield with a negative number is Sonny Expired, very unlikely since he is slow early and would have to make up tons of ground, but.. there is tons of early speed, Red Dragon Tattoo will run 4 furlongs as fast as anyone and always tries to lead, so there will be a fast pace to run at, the trainer\'s horses are running well lately, he shows a profit over the last 90 days, and this horses good race was two back, with good rest since.
Lewisfield looks much the best, but he has never raced on a off track.
Fellowship, another closer likes the slop, and his timing looks good as well.
I\'m going to use the #1 and #8 as keys and play around with the triple. those two with Switzerland,Laki (Big made some good points)and Lewisfield. Hope Long Haul bounces off the 3 pt new top in his return.
Today looks to me like a day to play small and hope to win big.