Author Topic: possible singles  (Read 876 times)

shanahan

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possible singles
« on: October 26, 2004, 10:18:13 AM »
for the pik 6...in previewing the figs, and times, I can only lean to Cajun Beat at this point..any others?

Tony

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Re: possible singles
« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2004, 10:36:24 AM »
I do not have the same fuzzy feeling I had for Cajun Beat as I did last year. Anyone else?


jimbo66

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Re: possible singles
« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2004, 10:52:01 AM »
Cajun Beat is your best single?  IF that\'s the case, don\'t worry about singling him in the pick 6, bet him to win.  He will be 10-1 in the race.  I think he has a shot and could be value, but would never classify him as the \"best single\".  I personally think the most likely winner on the card is Ghostzapper.  Although I won\'t bet him to win (price too short), I would also say that Kitten\'s Joy is a legitimate favorite and also a probable winner.  Tough to find \"singles\" on Breeders Cup day as the races are so competitive that even the most \"likely\" of winners can go down.  I think JB would probably agree that few horses have had a stronger numerical advantage than Sightseek last year and she ran up the track.  I think Ghostzappers advantage on the T-Graph numbers is as strong as Sightseek\'s was last year, but I am hoping for a different result.

shanahan

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Re: possible singles
« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2004, 10:57:30 AM »
can\'t say I disagree with you, and thanks for posting on this, but here is my current thinking on cajun beat:

Fresh,
lightly used TY,
fastest time at distance by far,
will be overlooked for all the above.

The DRF has a stat that 44 out of the 145 starters in BC have paid over $20, so I am playing a single MUCH differently than I would normally.

Anyone staying at the Anatole, by the way?