Author Topic: ROTW  (Read 924 times)

ronwar

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ROTW
« on: July 05, 2008, 12:26:04 PM »
I agree with Ventura being a bet against.  He looks better at one turn.  I disagree however with the analysis of Super Freaky.  My read is he worked his way down to a 5.75, improving 5 points from his 2 yr old top, which is right on par with his Sire profile. He tailed off for the rest of the year and was given some time.  He came back in a sprint pairing his top, before being stretched out again and pairing that top despite a bad start.  The Sire profile says he has a few more points of improvement in him and I think it happens now.  Third race of 4 yr old year. He figures to get a perfect trip from the rail right behind the speed.  

I think he\'s the key here at 12-1 with Bejarano aboard. Box with Lady of Venice and Diamond Diva.

Good Luck

Michael D.

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Re: ROTW
« Reply #1 on: July 05, 2008, 03:31:46 PM »
I like Diamond Diva. has the tactical speed to get position, and gets the 4 lbs from the favorites.

in the 5th, I\'m looking for Silver Swallow to hit the ticket at the ml of 20-1. got back to the \'07 top of \'5.25\' last, and comes in with perfect timing. gets in light, and gets some pace to run at. use the big fave and Sealy Hill as well.

Uncle Buck

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Re: ROTW
« Reply #2 on: July 05, 2008, 04:10:18 PM »
Here\'s my Pick 6. Do not try this at home:

Leg 1: 10
Leg 2: 1,5
Leg 3: 3,11
Leg 4: 1,4
Leg 5: 5
Leg 6: 1,9

$32

Can\'t wait to see Street Boss run again. His last was the most exciting race of the year so far IMO. Good luck everyone

Silver Charm

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Lady of Venice
« Reply #3 on: July 05, 2008, 05:07:20 PM »
She is 3/5 with 19 MTP. She does not lay over this field that big.

Lots of negative action on the Frankel mare because of two turn concerns but isn\'t 4-1 or the current 5-1 decent value?

Taking a bit of a wait and see approach but I may make a play on her considering I have bet her twice in a row already.

Silver Charm

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Re: Lady of Venice
« Reply #4 on: July 05, 2008, 05:32:53 PM »
This was a pretty Brutal Beat on Ventura.

Not sure what Gomez felt he had to lose by using the whip unless he was afraid she might bear in. In any event this was a bit of rider error from what I could see.

ronwar

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Re: Lady of Venice
« Reply #5 on: July 05, 2008, 05:44:05 PM »
Very tough beat if you liked Ventura.  Those are the kind that make you talk to yourself.

Silver Charm

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Re: Lady of Venice
« Reply #6 on: July 05, 2008, 05:54:16 PM »
Or second guess anything you are about to do. Particularly when those types are coming in bunches.

I passed on the UN because of course condition and finishing issues with SAD. He finished well but not good enough into the slow pace. SAD is improving and should be watched for later.