Thanks Jim. My thoughts?? Well, I liked MI in the SW and hated the post, so I will be using him as the key. Hate saying this but I like his.....pattern, he shouldn\'t be compromised from a pace standpoint and he has a great PP.
There are a lot of horses in the field that look like they\'re sitting on a forward move. With Drosselmeyer drawn outside in a race that looks to be filled with pace, the exotics could be big.
Hottep-Should improve with the inside draw (pp12 last time) and he comes from off the pace. Being on the rail should save ground and be in position coming into the long stretch.
MI-Key
Fly Down-ALW to graded stakes is a concern, BUT he is one of only two horses in the field that has won at this distance. He\'s second off the layoff and do we need to talk about Zito runners in the spring? He also closes. I like Fly Down underneath.
The Program-Can he jump up first dirt? Definitely, but this seems like a last ditch effort to see if this horse has..IT. I\'m staying away.
A Little Warm-Short price on a horse that has yet to go 2 turns. Pass.
Ron The Greek-Tough call IMO. Has a much better PP this time and he paired his top last time out. I\'m going to play RTG to regress a bit here. Two big efforts from outside PPs. Does he have anything left? Price will probably be short also.
Discreetly Mine-All I\'ve heard about this horse is that \"he can run all day\". First 3yo effort was over a sloppy track, he has 1 pt. of development over his 2yo top and shouldn\'t be compromised from a pace standpoint. I\'m using him.
Island Soul-Excellent late runner. Before the Risen Star there was a lot of talk about Hottep before the Risen Star and Albarado rode him that day. He takes the mount on IS who looks to improve on the 6. I\'m tossing the last effort on the slop. Underneath if anything because of the big jump in class.
Stay Put- I like the horse but the bad the bad post draw is a problem again. Good pattern, bad post draw. Underneath.
Wow Wow Wow-I like the bullet workout last week at OP and should be up front with DM if not on the lead. I\'m tossing the AQI effort and think that this horse runs a better race today. DM will run him into the ground IMO. If the track tightens up and is speed favoring I\'d use it underneath.
Mister Mardi Gras-Great pattern IMO, but the HUGE jump to Stakes company and bad post compromises his chances even more IMO.
Backtrack-Another horse that can close but 1st 2 turn race, jump in class, and bad PP= no play.
Drosselmeyer-Probably a move forward but a short price, bad post again means toss.
I\'ll be keying MI with Fly Down, Discreetly Mine, and Stay Put. I\'ll probably find a way to use Island Soul in some exotics somewhere.
Good Luck everyone.
