I\'m going to give #9 Nathan\'s H Q the nod for the following reasons:
1) He\'s the lone speed-look at the race shape, he figures to have a big lead from the start & will be playing catch me if you can, which can be very dangerous at Gulfstream.
2) The interesting workouts-after his last race his trainer has put some stamina works into him a 7f work on 3/13 followed by a mile work on 3/20. This gives me more encouragement that after he gets the lead, he won\'t quit.
3) Even though he didn\'t develop from 2 to 3, he did run a new top 1st off the 4 month layoff as a 4yo. Looking at the sire profile TGIs the Yonaguskas are still developing as they get older. I\'m giving him the benefit of the doubt that there is more development to come off that new top and he can run faster, which he\'ll have to do, on Sunday.
At 10-1 ML he figures to go off at a good price. Unfortunately, that can\'t be said for Safe Trip, who while also 10-1 ML is being picked everywhere. He\'s picked here, on BRIS and is the DRF\'s top pick. The value just won\'t be there for Safe Trip on Sunday.
By the way, as Jerry pointed out in his analysis, D\'Funnybone is scratching. He stepped on a stone this week, but may run next weekend-Dutrow was interviewed on Capital OTB earlier today.
One other thing I\'m going to try to do is combine this pick with the 7th, where I like #2 Mobilizer to run well 1st off the layoff & 1st turf. He\'s been working like a monster on turf & had to scratch twice so he could get a firm turf race.
