bdhseets,
Not that you care, but you are unlikely to get that type of exact analysis from me. That\'s not what I do. So defintely don\'t hold your breath. :-) I am trying to win money, not predict exactly how the race will develop
I am simply looking for VALUE.
What you will get from me is horses in the field I believe to be either better or worse than generally perceived by the public because of trips etc...
In fact, if a particular race development (like a duel, etc..) becomes the overwhelming expectation of handicappers and gets built into the odds fully, I am more likely to go against the grain even if I agree that that scenario is the most likely one.
It was not gobbledegoop.
I believe Dynever and Valponi may have run better than it looks on paper because they raced off the pace in a slow paced race in the Med Cup - which I don\'t think is fully appreciated. Unfortunately, being underappreciated is not equivalent to predicting them to win either. IMO, neither is the \"most likely\" winner and I would not bet Volponi.
I will refrain from posting my opinions in bits and pieces like this. I understand your point. Since Volponi was the topic of discussion, I thought it might be OK to say something about him prior to a full analysis.
Good Luck.
