East Coast Bias?

[smithkent]

With all due respect to everyone here, who are far more savvy handicappers than myself...

Bodemeister at 7-1, Ky Derby winning trainer, the horse named after his own son? His post position is great, doesn\'t put him at a disadvantage like the rail or far outside

For a site that purports to give the most accurate numbers, I\'m surprised that all of you are discounting Bodemeister, generally in favor of all the East Coast entrants.

I love your guys discussion, but he looks like an easy choice now that he isn\'t the favorite. I\'m OK with that since he is drifting to higher and higher odds as I write this!

[alm]

I think you completely miss the point of this program.  There\'s no bias here.  There are good reasons to think Bode can\'t win this thing.  Doesn\'t mean he won\'t, but if you bought TG\'s analysis you would understand the depth of the data that supports the idea that this horse won\'t win.  Since the speed number that is a key to this opinion occured in Arkansas, there\'s another reason not to think this is an East Coast bias.

[smithkent]

I did purchase the seminar

It tossed all the West Coast horses for various reasons (Bode is a left coast horse by virtue of his trainer and the preponderance of his racing success), and recommended keying Union Rags, Gemologist, TCI and perhaps Dullahan

The analysis of Bafferts previous Kentucky Derby horses in the seminar I find fallacious- the guy has a record of success in this race- in this years edition only Lukas has more wins- and his were many eons ago

Bodemeister may not win today, but I think the East Coast bias is real and alive here on Thorograph

[TGJB]

I wish I had kept my bias in mind when I used Switch and Smiling Tiger.

[aceriley63]

California horses all over the top of the chart.  I tossed all of them.