It ain\'t random. Nothing has 100% correlation or anywhere near it, but I\'ll go head-to-head with anyone on this, for very serious money. I\'ve been involved with something like 250 horses, from claimers to GI winners, thousands of starts, and as far as I can remember only two broke down on the track. And one of those was a top horse put back in training when he maybe should not have been, not my call. It\'s about picking horses with sound patterns, and managing them correctly-- giving them the right time between starts, again depending on pattern.