Jimbo,
Crazy results help make up 50k P3s. No question. However, some of those winners - not all, are certainly not picked based on birthdays or whatever.
If you are basing results based strictly on TG data, since this is a TG board, then perhaps you are correct. I\'ve had winners where people here told me \"you couldn\'t have had that based on TG\". I don\'t use TG on a regular basis, usually I use them for big events (BC, Derby, etc.)
I had that 87.60 horse in the 5th, and several others during the meet. It wasn\'t based on birthdays or lottery tickets, or luck. I\'ve hit winners where the TVG guys said...\"you had to hit the all button to get that one\".
I have great respect for TG, but it isn\'t the end all of handicapping. To dismiss a result as luck or ridiculous, because the TG numbers don\'t stack up, is short sided.
There are other ways to handicap, such as pace which many here dismiss. I don\'t know what that horse looked like on your figures, but on mine he was a ridiculous overlay based on his pace numbers both internal and total.
I wouldn\'t have hit that P3 in a million years, but some of the big prices aren\'t impossible. More than one way to do things.