Wet track and variance

[phil23]

Assuming it comes up slop, which sure seems to be the case at this point, would that cause you to scale back your wagers?

Specifically, if you had what you felt was a pretty solid opinion...like oh say what we have from the seminar, would you be less inclined to bet it due to the higher variance and uncertainty of who will run well over whatever kind of wet/drying/sloppy/muddy/floated track we get tomorrow.

Yes there are a few that look like they \"might\" move up on wet. But honestly, who really knows. Just because you have run well over one wet track prior or just because you have a pedigree for it, is no guarantee.

I guess my question is, will people be pulling back on their wagers and if so, to what extent?

[Rick B.]

phil23 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I guess my question is, will people be pulling
> back on their wagers and if so, to what extent?

I\'ll watch a few races, and if I don\'t like what I\'m
seeing, I\'ll shut it down for the day, immediately.

I can wager 200+ other days per year; tomorrow isn\'t
a deal breaker if I don\'t bet.

[MO]

Fortunately, I lost most of my bankroll today and wont have to deal with that problem in my handicapping tomorrow.

[Lost Cause]

Since it\'s a big day and everyone is out the pools are usually inflated at every track so if the track is sloppy at the big racetrack I will focus on Belmont, Hollywood and Arlington instead but of course I will be playing the late Churchill p4 and the derby..life changing payout there so you have to swing

[barn rabbit]

that\'s what the ATM (wall of shame) is for.