Thanks.
I understand what you mean by ground loaded figure. I would usually prefer my horse to be 3 wide in the clear on the turn than be 2 wide stuck in between two other horses. And the figure doesn\'t always tell the whole story. I get it.
Based on that, I could agree that you can say Cupid\'s race was better than the number is because he broke poorly and rushed up. I also agree with your comment about Gun Runner showing more tactical speed and this often being a sign of horse about to improve. His sheet would seem to say he should be sitting on a forward move, and maybe a big one. Which is what he would need to win the Derby. To my eye he may be the most athletic horse in the prospective field, with a very quick turn of foot. I wonder what he would do on the grass or synthetic.
But in the end, the TG numbers are based on a formula. Once you establish one horse\'s figure in the race, the rest have to follow the methodology. And I would disagree that Nyquist is slower, Gun Runner and Cupid are faster than what their TG number is. They ran what they ran. We will see what they run tomorrow. At least Dazzeling Gem is in the ARK Derby. He ran in the LA Derby, so that may give some comparison.
