At the risk of getting reprimanded by P-Dub for being on the same whiney topic, it doesn\'t matter if Curlin shows up, or if the filly runs in the Classic, or even if you unretire Ghostzapper and Bernardini. Sorry, but the BC Classic won\'t prove much this year.
If Go Between beats Curlin and Big Brown by 5 on the polycrap, is there a handicapper on the planet who would say Go Between is better than Curlin or Big Brown or would repeat that on dirt? Of course not. Yes, I will save those that want to post how synthetics provide a wagering opportunity for those that can \"figure them out\", but saying \"yep, agreed\". However, the Breeders Cup was designed to determine the \"best of the best\", not just for finding wagering opportunity. However, for the next two years, none of the non-turf BC races will prove anything, because the idiots in charge chose to put the races on polycrap.
Would there have been a better distaff in the last 20 years, if the race was on dirt, and you had Music Note, Zenyatta, Ginger Punch, Hysterical Lady and Proud Spell all running? That race, despite being the \"distaff\", might have been the \"race of the century\". Instead you get Zenyatta at even money, on polycrap, likely beating them easily, with Proud Spell skipping the race. Can\'t prove this, but Proud Spell would have been in the Breeders Cup if it was on dirt.
Curlin should go to the Japan Cup. He won\'t win on the poly. And it won\'t matter, when he doesn\'t. Maybe taking 6-1 on Go Between is \"great value\", for the best Poly-horse in the U.S. or guessing that he Euros might like it better than our dirt horses do, but it will be guessing. Nobody knows. Our host here has gone on record about not having figured out how to handle the disparity in figures for the surface switches and trying to predict the move ups and move downs, and he does it for a living, investing quite a bit more time than most of us on this board do.
