I am going to take a shot with Fiddler\'s Afleet today in the San Rafael.
Now, I am worried about a bounce as the horse made a big move forward down to a 1.5 in his last race and he shipped cross country so he may not run his number here. Also, this is his poly debut so there is a risk there as well.
However, 1) that 1.5 is the best number in the field by a good margin, 2) Northern Afleet\'s TGI index is actually better on synthetic than on dirt so there\'s some reason to believe the horse can handle the pro-ride, and 3) the big number he earned in his last was his first time routing which could mean a bounce is less likely as the horse just wants to go longer.
So, certainly some risk here but with a 10-1 morning line and all of the money likely to go to Square Eddie, I think Fiddler\'s Afleet is worth a shot.
Thoughts?
