I thought it was interesting that 8 of the 9 fast horses with \"ugly\" patterns heading into the Derby almost all had some sort of physical problem either prior to or after the derby:
Kafwain - injured and out of training
Sir Cherokee - injured and out of training
Buddy Gil - Injured and out of training
Indian Express - Injure and will miss Preakness
Brancusi - Quarter Crack
Ten Most Wanted - Back injury?
Empire Maker - Foot bruise
The only horse with an ugly pattern heading into the Derby that has not had a publicized injury is Peace Rules.
Off short rest and an ugly top followed by an 02, he may be a great play against in the Preakness. Of course, he is trained by Frankel and it is very hard to toss one of his 3yos entered in a Grade 1.
However, this might be your best chance in a long time (remember M\'dor in last year\'s Preakness off short rest and a similar pattern).
Cheers.
Chris