nyc1347 Wrote:
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> Richibee your analysis is completely off as well
> as the amounts. What about Blind Luck at $3.60?
> or Crowded House $6.60? those are just 2 of many
> wagers i loaded up on that made up for losses i
> took stabs on. Its not logical to think i would
> put 4k on EVERY race. My load up races with the
> Blind Lucks or random value stabs are much higher
> (4 times or so) my average show wager. Even
> shipping news was an average wager as that wouldnt
> be logical to load up on either.
>
> You are also assuming that I actually played every
> wager I posted. There are situations where i
> decide to stay away for many reasons including how
> a track plays out for the day, scratches, a horse
> being wagered down, etc. Nothing is consistent
> with this game and I try to be as consistent as
> possible with show wagers but when i seek value in
> this game I even turn to win and/or exactas at
> times where I see overlays such as Boys at
> Toscanova today. %95 of the wagers I do are show
> wagers but in order to make money in this game the
> approach has to be flexible.
NYC: Back in the 1970s a couple of young kids, maybe 7 and 9 years old, sold
a tout sheet called \"Kids Picks\" for $1 near the Clubhouse entrance at Saratoga.
Even though my feeling was these two kids were being exploited by their dad, they
seemed to be having fun so I used to buy the sheet, which was crudely hand
lettered, every day.
My point in bringing this up is to say that why spend $20 - $100 per day on a
product like ThoroGraph to come up with horses like Blind Luck (in a 6 runner
field) or the $3.10 \"overlay\" Boys at Toscanova, when there\'s a good chance I
could have gotten those selections from a 7 year old kid for $1?
I have had a gut feeling ever since you began posting this past winter. That gut
feeling is that you want some recognition for your handicapping efforts, maybe to
one day have people pay you for your opinion much the way we pay JB and
the Thorogang for their opinions and data. Maybe you even have it in your mind to
create a product which people will one day pay you for. You could call it \"Show-
Nuff\" or \"Just for Show\". Possibly your chat endeavor will be the jumping off
point for a venture such as this. (I personally like \"Showgozin\", because it fits
in with my conspiracy theory that you have been planted here by the evil East
Village Empire in order to dumb down the TG product and create havoc on the TG
board)(You also may have been planted as revenge for JB dumping the Cube on the
Raggies).
Possibly the best manner in which to assemble a following would be to win a couple
of high profile handicapping contests or maybe take down a couple of mega Pick 6
pots; to achieve either of these objectives you are probably going to have to
rethink that \"95% show wager\" strategy and play with some serious big dogs in the
win pool.
As to my analysis of your selections, I will gladly add Blind Luck and Crowded
House to your accomplishments. I will also add the \"overlaid\" Boys at Toscanova
(very very surprised that Tricky plans to train this one up to the BC Juvie) and
the two off the board selections from todays card. Forgetting about how much you
bet or what pool you wagered in, you basically made 27 selections which produced
3 winners -- Dynaslew, Blind Luck and the \"overlaid\" Boys at Toscanova. Two of
the winners were rather short priced. I know you can do better than this. Hell,
give a chimpanzee a program and a magic marker...I won\'t go there.
> I think im going to start doing more analysis on
> here and in the chat room now rather than hiding
> my ways so i can open up and share my ideas
> completely rather than just opinion. Maybe then
> people can have an idea where I am coming from and
> what my wagers are about. Il be around ttyl
This last paragraph confirms my gut feeling. Take some advice from an older man,
a man much too old to know what \"ttyl\" means; that advice is to get a map of the
Universe and try to locate yourself. The result might surprise you.
NYC I broke a promise to myself, my fellow posters, the lecherous Bob Barker
and the entire Walton family to disappear for 3 weeks. I thought I owed you a
response, but now its gotta go, love ya, bye bye.
