Thanks for the praise...I couldn\'t bet during the day and had to make a bet before the races started. I thought this horse would go off around 5-1...and because I thought that would be the case, the best bet I could see making was the final pick 3.
The 9th and 11th races looked wide open to me, so I went ALL in the 9th, singled Wise Dan and bet 9 horses in the 11th...I could only eliminate three of them. I was counting on two longshots and Wise Dan...I had no idea he would be the longshot.
I did very well.
You have to be wondering how someone could be so sure about this one...maybe not...but here it is. He was a first time turfer with competitive dirt numbers. His trainer is sharp and wins a large share. The key was the turf workout a few days before the race. It was sharp and had it not been, IMO he would not have been entered.
It\'s simple really...I have hit this angle many times over the years after following the Kelly family to the windows with first time turfers in NY who worked on the grass close to their races. Many times. It was more than an angle in this case, because this was an accomplished horse to begin with. I didn\'t have the TG sheets today, but I will bet his best numbers were as good if not better than anyone else in the race. So all this boiled down to was having confidence he could repeat or improve them on the grass.
