I was doing things like adjusting for weight and using only the most recent synthetic track races for each horse (both at Hollywood), and with Smith\'s horse going from less than a mile to over a mile, making the number even one point faster according to the T-G Sire Profile. If you don\'t want to adjust for that, he\'s still easily 2 points faster. Perhaps I shouldn\'t be so dramatic and say no shot, but a horse that\'s (at least) 2 (if not 3.25) points faster on the inside in a freaking 2 horse race has a huge advantage I\'d think it\'s safe to say; I\'m not sure how that\'s a wild conclusion. I\'m not a big Chantal fan. I think she\'s a mediocre rider at best, and Smith\'s ridden some of the great thoroughbreds of all time and his reputation is safe no matter what anyone says, but this event proves nothing really, that\'s all I\'m saying. It was a good free space for pick-5 players, and the pick 5 payed huge by the way, so all in all it wasn\'t a waste from a betting standpoint.I think I\'ve beaten this topic to death in any event.
