From the guy who gave you the 2008 exacta cold...

[TGJB]

True that.

[FrankD.]

Topcat,

I\'ve not been here much and just read your post. YES !!! Election betting was one huge in the US. Jimmy the Greek often said one of his toughest beats was Dewey losing to Truman. Supposedly he had a bundle on Tommy boy.

On a personal note in a different life when I was a taker of bets? I had a 70 something year old customer who owned several Ford dealerships from the 50\'s through his death in the mid 90\'s. He would drop thousands at the black jack tables in Atlantic City and Vegas, blow 5k on a weekend in football.

BUT:
He bragged until the day he died about beating me for $ 100.00 on the Ross Perot over/under in the 92 election. He asked me to put out an over under on the Perot % of the popular vote. I put out 15.5 % and he pulled 17 something. God bless Jack he bragged about that win to anyone who would listen for 3-4 years before he died.

FD

[Topcat]

sighthound Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Santorum just got lucky - today the 150
> Evangelicals meeting in Texas voted to back
> Santorum against Mittens,  not Perry!   I\'m
> shocked - thought it would be the other way
> around.

Perry\'s had his shot, and won\'t get another chance . . . and looking at Newt\'s history, Santorum clearly hews closer to the evangelicals\' social line than Newt ever will.   But since Newt\'s not looking to drop out other than at gunpoint, what\'s the diff? . . .

[mbeychok]

Palin on Hannity yesterday.  This is her thought process.  Palin-Gingrich.

\"I\'d vote for Newt and I would want this to continue. More debates. More vetting of candidates. Because we know the mistake made in our country four years ago was having  a candidate that was not vetted to the degree that he should have been,\" she said.

***\"I would want this to continue\"***

That\'s her plan. Extend the primaries. No one with enough votes to get nomination.
She steps in. Scoops Newt and his votes. There\'s your nominee.  Tell me I\'m crazy.

michael

[spa]

You\'re crazy...! I\'m 99%

[richiebee]

Mike

I watched the same interview. The woman has not moved forward in four years.
She might have enough grasp of substantive issues to be elected to
office in her home state, but she was not ready for prime time in 08 and not
ready now.

What has she accomplished in the last 4 years? Quit as governor? Made an awful
reality show?

She is in an all out drive to keep herself relevant now.

[phil23]

Who\'s the turkey now Mr. Perry? (seriously...one of the most idiotic, dangerous comments I\'ve ever heard...the one Muslim country that is committed to some amount of secularism and modernity...and he bashes them...to quote miff...CLUELESS CLOWN)

Certainly helps Newt and there\'s 25\'s out there.  God, I do not want to bet more on this prop as I think Romney still is the winner but...value.  Arggg.  

Is it asking too much for it to come out that Romney has more than one wife squirrelled away somewhere in Utah?

[phil23]

Then again, maybe those 25\'s are not value...

Marianne Gingrich to ABC: \"He wanted an open marriage and I refused.\"

If you look up NEMESIS in the dictionary, is there now a picture of Marianne?

 \"the spirit of divine retribution against those who succumb to hubris\"

[TGJB]

She also said that Obama hadn\'t been vetted enough. Given that she had undergone zero public scrutiny and McCain hadn\'t even met her when he put her up to be the proverbial heartbeat away from the presidency (with an old guy with a history of cancer) that was pretty funny.

[mbeychok]

Amazing isn\'t it what these goofs can get away with when they are talking heads.

To be clear, I wouldn\'t vote for any of the Republican candidates. I just think that chaos will prevail in the end and Palin is best situated to take advantage of the chaos in the end. I also want to see them keep going deeper and deeper in the opposition research book on each other as well. Keeps it entertaining.

michael

[TGJB]

Starting to look like Gingrich...

[sekrah]

TGJB Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Starting to look like Gingrich...


Perry stepping down today was huge for him ahead of this final debate tonight.  Should earn him about 5-10 minutes of speaking time, and he has a decisive edge over Romney and Santorum.  Especially if CNN lets them go at it like they promised.  Santorum is a snoozefest, and Romney usually gets bailed out by a moderator whenever someone has him rocking a little.

Gingrich-Obama will be a very entertaining General Election (and the only candidate up there who has a chance against Obama IMHO). If it\'s Romney-Obama, this will be the first time in my life I\'ve never participated in a Presidential election.

[jimbo66]

Interesting side bar conversation, but I would keep my day job, TGJB. (despite your 2008 cold exacta, as I often say when I cash my rare tickets these days, \"even a blind squirrel occasionally finds an acorn\".

Romney is 90%+ to get the nomination.  Gingrich isn\'t winning anything.

[sekrah]

jimbo66 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Interesting side bar conversation, but I would
> keep my day job, TGJB. (despite your 2008 cold
> exacta, as I often say when I cash my rare tickets
> these days, \"even a blind squirrel occasionally
> finds an acorn\".
>
> Romney is 90%+ to get the nomination.  Gingrich
> isn\'t winning anything.


Romney 90% if he wins SC.
Romney down to 60% if Gingrich wins SC (who is currently trading at 57 on intrade).  

Still a favorite, but you are underestimating the anti-Romney sentiment in the GOP.  Romney has had the wind at his back and is struggling to get past 35% anywhere.

[miff]

\"Gingrich isn\'t winning anything\"

Jim,

Why not? The guy asked his wife at the time for an \"open marriage\" so he could bang other women. Whats not to vote for?


Mike