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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 1358 times)

shanahan

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Analysis
« on: May 19, 2012, 06:38:41 PM »
Preakness is usually the only time it\'s a good product...nice job today, but the big race comment was inexcusable.

Hope all is jazzed @ Belmont. I am.
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Wire To Wire

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Re: Analysis
« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2012, 08:03:36 PM »
Anybody who had Thorograph HAD to have a winning day at Pimlico today!
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JR

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Re: Analysis
« Reply #2 on: May 19, 2012, 08:14:59 PM »
Why?
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JR

JR

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Re: Analysis
« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2012, 08:21:14 PM »
Oh sorry. You\'re referring to the analysis. I didn\'t buy it but they could have an OK day. I\'m guessing their biggest score was in the Dixie with HAH finishing the exacta. That was a good payout. But where was Smart Bid?
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JR

Beau

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Re: Analysis
« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2012, 08:40:05 PM »
I agree the TG sheets enabled me to have a very nice day! Thanks JB and gang!
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touchgold

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Re: Analysis
« Reply #5 on: May 19, 2012, 09:44:55 PM »
didnt get the analysis, but 2 horses all day pay over 10.00???.....cant imagine any huge scores....but kudos to those who did
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miff

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Re: Analysis
« Reply #6 on: May 19, 2012, 09:59:47 PM »
Unless they did something to speed up the surface before the Preakness, the figure is like Neg 2 for IHA.

Pimlico surface dull both days with slow raw times, negative speed in routes, the inside ugly.Stiff breeze and sunny conditions sucking tightness out

First two in Preakness tower over this crop.Tough to see IHA getting outrun in the Belmont.Needs to show resiliency once more.IHA\'s back being treated by a massage therapist.With 3 weeks in between,IHA could get another shock wave treatment and still have time to get off the vets list.

NYRA lucks out with app another 50k in attendance in three weeks.


Mike
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miff

Lost Cause

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Re: Analysis
« Reply #7 on: May 19, 2012, 10:21:35 PM »
miff Wrote:


> NYRA lucks out with app another 50k in attendance
> in three weeks.
>
>
> Mike


First Triple crown chance without OTB\'s in NYC.  It will be more packed than ever..guaranteed they will break their records

I have seen a few triple crown contenders lose the Belmont from Alysheba on and I think this one has the best chance of all.  The other ones I never really thought they could finish the job although some came close.  This horse is absolutely the real deal and he can run all day while staying close up to the pace.  I can\'t see a scenario where this horse get beat.  Speed duel he takes back and gets you.  No speed he stays close up or stalks and grinds you down.  I can\'t find a 3 year old to play to beat him.  Union Rags is not going a mile and a half and beating this horse.
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touchgold

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Re: Analysis
« Reply #8 on: May 19, 2012, 10:24:13 PM »
I concur!!!.....impressive animal.
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jalt2

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Re: Analysis
« Reply #9 on: May 19, 2012, 10:40:08 PM »
Dullahan. Hope he gives a little honk of the horn on the way past IHA.
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jimbo66

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Re: Analysis
« Reply #10 on: May 19, 2012, 10:49:09 PM »
Can\'t blame anybody for thinking this guy has a big shot.

But put me on Union Rags right now.  Thought he was the best of this generation before the Derby, did no running in the Derby, skipped the Preakness and will be fresh for the Belmont.

Meanwhile, I\'ll Have Another has run two VERY nice races, having to run especially hard to run down Bode today.  Have to think he will be vulnerable in 3 weeks at the 1 1/2 miles.

I just need the Frenchman fired to feel stronger........
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shanahan

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Re: Analysis
« Reply #11 on: May 20, 2012, 06:14:43 AM »
The analysis was ok, but the specific Preakness race analysis was borderline comical..well it would have been had I not paid for it.
In truth, Preakness day may be the best day to buy it.  Over the years I have found it excellent to both find an overlooked horse as well as verify my own piks.
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JimP

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Re: Analysis
« Reply #12 on: May 20, 2012, 06:37:05 AM »
Of the specific bets that were recommended in the Analysis, I can see only 2 that were cashed. Races 6 and 7.
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Beau

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Re: Analysis
« Reply #13 on: May 20, 2012, 07:47:47 AM »
Well, I play pk3\'s, pk4\'s and pk5\'s and to me there was some very solid singles.

Sorry for the redboard! I usually do not post my luck at all, but it\'s been a long time since I made a serious score like this!

The race that separated me was the 9th, I love English Channel\'s first time turf as the sire profile has him at 24% first time turf. Even though he ran a new top last race on dirt, which was HT and GM same top, I figured him to not bounce as much on turf and be right there :)

To me the singles were Claire Skies Ahead $11.00, Hamazing Destiny $7.80, and Skyring $19.60, those three produced a .50 cent pk3 that paid $121.50 and I killed it!

Hudson Steele $8.20, was another single that produced a .50 cent pk5 that paid $1485 and I crush it, as well as the other pk\'s.


The value may not have been in the vertical play\'s with the exception of the exacta Hudson Steele over Humble and Hungry. I Finally put it all together yesterday by not trying to beat the fastest horses in the race.

I did not use the analysis nor have I seen it but I am going to check it out today.
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miff

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Re: Analysis
« Reply #14 on: May 20, 2012, 07:49:10 AM »
No question IHA has to show up again, the others have to improve like 6 to 10 lengths to have any chance if IHA does show up.Highly unlikely any of the others improving that
much so IHA will have to back up to get beat.None of the others have shown anywhere near enough ability to outrun him.
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miff
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