THE DAY JERRY'S WORLD CAME CRASHING DOWN!

[Vol Jack]

Nice call on the 6 there BadRide.
I didnt think he figured all that much on the TG\'s.

[badride123]

I don\'t use T-graphs.  I just like the board and all the wonderful guys.  

Im DD to the field here but Im pressing the 4 intra race.  

Thanks P-dub

[touchgold]

im on the 4 as well....

[badride123]

The 4 is really overlaid in here at 7.   Im not in love with Julien, or how hes ridden this horse in the past.   Especially with a race devoid of speed, but hopefully he gets involved.   I think that turf could hold the pace a long time today, especially if it rains.

[Lost Cause]

badride123 Wrote:
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> The 4 is really overlaid in here at 7.   Im not in
> love with Julien, or how hes ridden this horse in
> the past.   Especially with a race devoid of
> speed, but hopefully he gets involved.   I think
> that turf could hold the pace a long time today,
> especially if it rains.


Which makes Screenplay (Jim\'s horse) the play..Main controlling speed with ability..

[badride123]

Marginal if hes the play.    I won\'t be surprised if he wins, but I\'ll always to differ to longer price.

[toppled]

I hit the 2nd using a combination of TG & Formulator.  Here\'s how I saw it: From Formulator-His last race is a major key race.  Even though he finished 8th & got a 15.25, it was on polytrack, so I forgave him because of the class of the race (featured the Lexington winner winning it) and I also forgave his prior race a 12.5 because it was a minor stake.  So I looked at the 4.75 & 5 he ran in the two prior races which were both run on wet tracks and he had the 2nd highest top in the whole race, and remember, both good #s were on wet tracks & there has to be some moisture in the track.  He also had a decent workout on the track.  The sheets were part of it, but I\'m also a big key race guy, which helped.
For the record, two more horses are coming out of that same key race & are running in the 5th.  I\'m making a good bet on the 10, who finished 2nd getting run down at the wire by Winning Cause, but I\'m boxing him with that other key race runner.

[badride123]

Hard to take 3-1 on that one when he lacked the class a lot of them carried.  If he were to have any chance at all he had to be asked out of the gate.  Once he was taken back that is all she wrote.   That\'s just too short a number there when you have a turf pedigree with class at 5 with Julien, and the 4 who figures and is a huge overlay.   Of course, that\'s my opinion

[TGJB]

I\'ve said this twice here recently to other people. This is a TG board. Other factors that provide insight-- physicality, pedigree, pace are welcome. But not general handicapping discussions that turn this into a general racing board. There are other places for that.

[TGJB]

In the Analysis I gave a 3 horse box, the winner with the 3-4 finishers, who were on the rail, which is clearly at least suspect.

[badride123]

Just trying to help the guys make some money.   Ill keep my opinion to myself thought we were allowed to discuss the races

[TGJB]

Not going to let this turn into the Ken Sherman board.

[Lost Cause]

badride123 Wrote:
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> Hard to take 3-1 on that one when he lacked the
> class a lot of them carried.  If he were to have
> any chance at all he had to be asked out of the
> gate.  Once he was taken back that is all she
> wrote.   That\'s just too short a number there when
> you have a turf pedigree with class at 5 with
> Julien, and the 4 who figures and is a huge
> overlay.   Of course, that\'s my opinion


Agreed , thought I saw an easy 3/1 play as the lone speed even though it was low I tried to push it into multi race plays, when taken back I knew I was dead..

[richiebee]

high roller Wrote:
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> TAP ARMADA SMASHES THOROGRAPH!!!


...Aye matey where\'s yer Armada now?

[sekrah]

LOL richiebee.